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  4. FAO Food Price Index for October
EconomicsResolved

FAO Food Price Index for October

Resolved

This prediction market has resolved and is no longer available to trade.

Final contract prices and probabilities

Above 131.097¢97%
Above 132.082¢82%
Above 133.060¢60%
$9,452 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the FAO Food Price Index for October 2026 is above 131.0, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the headline FAO Food Price Index, not the Cereal, Vegetable Oil, Meat, Dairy, or Sugar sub-index. The relevant observation is the October 2026 monthly value first reported in FAO’s Food Price Index scheduled for release on Nov 6, 2026. Subsequent revisions do not apply.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation
  • Resolution date
  • Total event volume$9,452.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Final contract results

ContractResolution
Above 131.0
Above 132.0
Above 133.0
Above 134.0
Above 136.0
Above 135.0
Above 137.0
Above 140.0

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Related events

Avocado advertised prices this week
| $636.48 Vol.
Above $0.90
Above $1.70
Above $1.00
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?
| $4,323.34 Vol.
Canada higher?
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?
| $10.00 Vol.
United Kingdom higher?
South Africa inflation rate MoM for October
| $30,948.50 Vol.
Above 0.4%
Above 0.6%
Above 0.8%
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October
| $3,330.52 Vol.
Above -0.30
Above -0.10
Above 0.10
Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in October?
| $1,362.00 Vol.
Japan higher?
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
| $21,752.88 Vol.
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Above 0.4%
Headline PCE inflation in October
| $3,382.68 Vol.
Above 0.2%
Above 0.4%
Above 0.3%
Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in November
| $2,849.54 Vol.
Above 100¢ per pound
Above 105¢ per pound
Above 110¢ per pound
ISM Manufacturing PMI in November
| $338.00 Vol.
At least 54
At least 55
At least 56
Chipotle Chicken Burrito price in November
| $2,131.90 Vol.
At least $9.87
At least $9.88
At least $9.89
Chick-fil-A Chicken Sandwich price in November
| $3,650.18 Vol.
At least $5.40
At least $5.42
At least $5.41
Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in November
| $2,409.82 Vol.
At least $6.72
At least $6.73
At least $6.74
Dunkin' medium cold brew price in November
| $3,384.44 Vol.
At least $4.48
At least $4.49
At least $4.50
Wendy's Baconator price in November
| $3,451.92 Vol.
At least $8.76
At least $8.77
At least $8.75
Burger King Double Whopper price in November
| $2,791.20 Vol.
At least $8.09
At least $8.12
At least $8.13
Popeyes Classic Chicken Sandwich price in November
| $2,324.72 Vol.
At least $5.80
At least $5.81
At least $5.83
FAO Food Price Index for November
| $41,472.72 Vol.
Above 132.0
Above 131.0
Above 133.0
November 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
| $1,480.00 Vol.
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%
Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below
Will core CPI be above headline CPI in November?
| $2,870.00 Vol.
In November 2026
Core CPI in November
| $447,519.44 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Core CPI YoY in November
| $869,998.92 Vol.
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Above 3.0%
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
| $17,553.34 Vol.
Exactly 2.9%
Exactly 3.0%
Exactly 2.8%
Core CPI in November (exact value)
| $41,894.88 Vol.
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.1%
CPI YoY in November
| $2,244,037.36 Vol.
Above 3.6%
Above 3.7%
Above 3.8%
CPI in November (exact value)
| $11,662.26 Vol.
Exactly 0.0%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly -0.1%
US used cars and trucks CPI for November
| $4,423.34 Vol.
Above 178
Above 180
Above 179
CPI YoY in November (exact value)
| $68,616.30 Vol.
Exactly 3.2%
Exactly 3.8%
Exactly 3.9%
CPI in November
| $626,131.92 Vol.
Above -0.2%
Above -0.1%
Above 0.0%
Egg prices up in November?
| $0.14 Vol.
Above 0%
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
| $94,141.40 Vol.
Yes
Electricity inflation YoY in November
| $11,655.24 Vol.
Above 3.4%
Above 3.6%
Above 3.8%
Brazil inflation rate in November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 4.90%
Above 4.60%
Above 4.70%
Argentina inflation rate MoM for November
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 1.8%
Above 3.0%
Above 1.4%
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
| $4,661.52 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
| $146,266.80 Vol.
Above $1100
Above $1000
Above $1200
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
| $40,323.92 Vol.
Above 4.75%
Above 5.00%
Above 6.25%
How high will CPI get this year?
| $212,516.98 Vol.
Above 4.2%
Above 4.6%
Above 4.7%
Core CPI YoY in December
| $452,855.82 Vol.
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Above 3.0%
State of the economy at the end of 2026
| $441,503.04 Vol.
Overheating
Soft landing
Stagflation
Core CPI in December
| $185,420.96 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
CPI YoY in December (exact value)
| $31,881.52 Vol.
Exactly 3.7%
Exactly 3.5%
Exactly 3.4%
Core CPI in December (exact value)
| $3,992.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.1%
CPI in December (exact value)
| $1,290.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.0%
Exactly 0.1%
CPI in December
| $290,289.70 Vol.
Above 0.0%
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
| $15,875.36 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
CPI YoY in December
| $885,724.60 Vol.
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%
Above 3.6%
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
| $5,048.00 Vol.
Exactly 2.8%
Exactly 3.1%
Exactly 2.7%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q4 2026
| $44.54 Vol.
Above 4.5%
Above 6.0%
Above 5.5%
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
| $1,232.02 Vol.
Above $25,000
Above $26,000
Above $27,000
How high will inflation get this year?
| $1,269,897.12 Vol.
At least 5.0%
At least 4.5%
At least 6.0%
Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
| $248,323.14 Vol.
Above 4.00 pp
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?
| $12,812.40 Vol.
Above 4.75%
Above 4.50%
Above 5.00%
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
| $302,299.70 Vol.
In Dec 2026
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
| $599.48 Vol.
Above $28,500
Above $29,000
Above $31,000
2027 Toyota Sienna starting MSRP
| $54,207.24 Vol.
Above $41,000
Above $42,000
Above $41,500
I bond fixed rate in May of 2027
| $2,069.20 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 1.8%
Above 1.0%
UC tuition for 2027–28
| $1,584.98 Vol.
Above $16,100
Above $16,200
Above $16,300
Social Security COLA for 2028
| $19,876.06 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 5%
Above 9%
Above 4%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
| $150,529.48 Vol.
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
Above 4.0%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028
| $16,921.98 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 1.5%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
| $39,544.58 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
| $7,899.10 Vol.
Above 1.5%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
| $7,042.78 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032
| $696.06 Vol.
Above 1.0%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
| $1,820.08 Vol.
Above 1.5%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
| $4,214.58 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 1.5%
Above 4.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035
| $3,310.84 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036
| $3,423.24 Vol.
Above 4.0%
Above 2.0%
Above 3.0%

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