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Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

Fervo Energy98¢98%
Moderna84¢84%
Oklo83¢83%
$10,650.98 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Fervo Energy is announced to be or is officially added to MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market concerns the MSCI USA Index, the Standard large- and mid-cap index. MSCI USA Small Cap, MSCI USA IMI, MSCI World as a whole, and ESG or factor variants are separate indexes. The first relevant official MSCI announcement or actual membership change specified by this market must occur during the stated time period. A change announced before that period does not qualify merely because it takes effect during the period. Regular reviews and qualifying off-cycle changes, including IPO fast-track inclusion and corporate-action deletions, can count under INDEXMEMBERSHIP. Use MSCI's official announcements and the MSCI USA INDEX section of the Global Standard review table; the summary of the largest global additions is not the complete USA list. Temporary suspensions, successor continuity, and cancelled or corrected announcements follow the INDEXMEMBERSHIP filing. A scheduled review does not by itself end a quarter-wide observation period. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the MSCI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMSCI
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$10,650.98
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • US Foods
    Volume$4,369.40
    Price43¢
    -90.63% today
  • Royal Gold
    Volume$1,751.88
    Price50¢
    +35.14% today
  • Moderna
    Volume$1,600.00
    Price91¢
    -3.45% today
  • Tenet Healthcare
    Volume$1,481.28
    Price87¢
    +18.97% today
  • Woodward
    Volume$1,246.66
    Price48¢
    +100.00% today
  • Fervo Energy
    Volume$174.04
    Price98¢
    +96.00% today
  • Oklo
    Volume$27.44
    Price42¢
    +277.27% today
  • IonQ
    Volume$0.28
    Price24¢
    -15.00% today
  • X-energy
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • US Foods
    Volume$4,369.40
    Price98¢
    +42.65% today
  • Royal Gold
    Volume$1,751.88
    Price91¢
    -20.63% today
  • Moderna
    Volume$1,600.00
    Price17¢
    +23.08% today
  • Tenet Healthcare
    Volume$1,481.28
    Price98¢
    -26.19% today
  • Woodward
    Volume$1,246.66
    Price98¢
    -36.99% today
  • Fervo Energy
    Volume$174.04
    Price98¢
    -96.00% today
  • Oklo
    Volume$27.44
    Price98¢
    -78.21% today
  • IonQ
    Volume$0.28
    Price83¢
    +3.75% today
  • X-energy
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    +100.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. The leading outcome is Fervo Energy, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using MSCI as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?
| $9,410.20 Vol.
The Cooper Companies
Deckers Outdoor
McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)

Live odds on Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Companies added to the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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