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Financials

Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

DICK'S Sporting Goods93¢93%
The Carlyle Group90¢90%
Watsco89¢89%
$9,410.20 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If DICK'S Sporting Goods is announced to be or is officially removed from MSCI USA Index during October 1, 2026 to December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market concerns the MSCI USA Index, the Standard large- and mid-cap index. MSCI USA Small Cap, MSCI USA IMI, MSCI World as a whole, and ESG or factor variants are separate indexes. The first relevant official MSCI announcement or actual membership change specified by this market must occur during the stated time period. A change announced before that period does not qualify merely because it takes effect during the period. Regular reviews and qualifying off-cycle changes, including IPO fast-track inclusion and corporate-action deletions, can count under INDEXMEMBERSHIP. Use MSCI's official announcements and the MSCI USA INDEX section of the Global Standard review table; the summary of the largest global additions is not the complete USA list. Temporary suspensions, successor continuity, and cancelled or corrected announcements follow the INDEXMEMBERSHIP filing. A scheduled review does not by itself end a quarter-wide observation period. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the MSCI. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMSCI
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$9,410.20
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • The Carlyle Group
    Volume$1,957.80
    Price100¢
    +28.57% today
  • DICK'S Sporting Goods
    Volume$1,568.10
    Price100¢
    +36.76% today
  • The Cooper Companies
    Volume$1,475.42
    Price81¢
    +3.95% today
  • Deckers Outdoor
    Volume$1,369.14
    Price77¢
    +4.17% today
  • Fidelity National Financial
    Volume$1,365.60
    Price100¢
    +29.41% today
  • Watsco
    Volume$1,074.14
    Price100¢
    +30.88% today
  • McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)
    Volume$600.00
    Price100¢
    -34.29% today
  • Circle Internet Group (Class A)
    Volume$0.00
    Price18¢
    -100.00% today
  • Corebridge Financial
    Volume$0.00
    Price8¢
    -100.00% today
  • Hyatt Hotels (Class A)
    Volume$0.00
    Price19¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • The Carlyle Group
    Volume$1,957.80
    Price60¢
    0.00% today
  • DICK'S Sporting Goods
    Volume$1,568.10
    Price65¢
    0.00% today
  • The Cooper Companies
    Volume$1,475.42
    Price28¢
    -12.50% today
  • Deckers Outdoor
    Volume$1,369.14
    Price32¢
    -10.71% today
  • Fidelity National Financial
    Volume$1,365.60
    Price65¢
    0.00% today
  • Watsco
    Volume$1,074.14
    Price64¢
    0.00% today
  • McCormick & Company (non-voting common shares)
    Volume$600.00
    Price60¢
    0.00% today
  • Circle Internet Group (Class A)
    Volume$0.00
    Price90¢
    +16.28% today
  • Corebridge Financial
    Volume$0.00
    Price98¢
    +5.26% today
  • Hyatt Hotels (Class A)
    Volume$0.00
    Price89¢
    +17.65% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. The leading outcome is DICK'S Sporting Goods, with an estimated probability of 93% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using MSCI as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

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Live odds on Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

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Companies removed from the MSCI USA Index in Q4?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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