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  4. Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?
Economics

Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?

Yes——
No——
$0 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the first-published 12-month percentage change in Green Street’s U.S. All-Property Commercial Property Price Index for October 2027 is below -20%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 12-month percentage change in the U.S. All-Property Commercial Property Price Index reported by Green Street for October 2027, comparing October 2027 with October 2026. The published 12-month percentage change is used directly, at the precision reported in the release’s headline or accompanying narrative. No percentage change is independently calculated from index levels, and no additional rounding is applied. “Below −20%” means strictly less than −20%; a reported change of exactly −20.0% resolves No. The first published October 2027 figure is used, including if designated preliminary or estimated. Subsequent corrections and revisions are ignored. Only the October 2027 observation determines the outcome. A decline exceeding 20% in an earlier month does not independently satisfy the condition. Publication delays do not change the observation month; missing or discontinued data are handled under the governing contract’s provisions.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceGreen Street
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$0.00
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$0.00
    Price6¢
    -100.00% today
  • No
    Volume$0.00
    Price95¢
    +92.31% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?. The outcome is Below -20%, with an estimated probability of 0% and a Yes contract price of $0.06. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027? is Nov 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Green Street as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?

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Commercial property prices down >20% YoY as of Oct 2027?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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