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Economics

Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

Above 950 units98¢98%
Above 1,100 units97¢97%
Above 1,250 units92¢92%
$121,955.36 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in the Bozeman, MT CBSA in calendar year 2026 is above 950 units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Total housing-units-authorized figure for the Bozeman, MT CBSA in the Census Building Permits Survey’s final annual 2026 data. All residential structure types are included: one-unit, two-unit, three- and four-unit, and structures with five or more units. Use the Census Building Permits Survey → Permits by CBSA page: Then Annual 2026 → Bozeman, MT → Total.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceFederal Reserve Bank of New York
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$121,955.36
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 1,400 units
    Volume$38,354.88
    Price68¢
    -1.47% today
  • Above 1,700 units
    Volume$30,035.34
    Price25¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 950 units
    Volume$21,840.00
    Price98¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 1,250 units
    Volume$21,392.96
    Price93¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 1,100 units
    Volume$7,892.74
    Price98¢
    -1.02% today
  • Above 1,550 units
    Volume$2,439.44
    Price52¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 1,400 units
    Volume$38,354.88
    Price33¢
    +3.13% today
  • Above 1,700 units
    Volume$30,035.34
    Price77¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 950 units
    Volume$21,840.00
    Price3¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 1,250 units
    Volume$21,392.96
    Price8¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 1,100 units
    Volume$7,892.74
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today
  • Above 1,550 units
    Volume$2,439.44
    Price49¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026. The leading outcome is Above 950 units, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 is May 31, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Federal Reserve Bank of New York as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

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  4. 4

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Live odds on Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

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Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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