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Elections

120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune50¢50%
Chuck Schumer41¢41%
John Barrasso8¢8%
$22,611.94 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If John Thune wins the U.S. Senate Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. Each party’s Senate conference elects its own leader, and the leader of the largest party that does not hold Senate majority status serves as Senate Minority Leader. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceU.S. Senate
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$22,611.94
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • John Barrasso
    Volume$11,205.00
    Price15¢
    -20.00% today
  • John Thune
    Volume$7,022.14
    Price55¢
    0.00% today
  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$4,356.80
    Price42¢
    +10.81% today
  • Tom Cotton
    Volume$28.00
    Price5¢
    +33.33% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    -100.00% today
  • Chris Murphy
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    -100.00% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    -100.00% today
  • Cory Booker
    Volume$0.00
    Price5¢
    -100.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • John Barrasso
    Volume$11,205.00
    Price93¢
    +2.22% today
  • John Thune
    Volume$7,022.14
    Price55¢
    0.00% today
  • Chuck Schumer
    Volume$4,356.80
    Price68¢
    -6.35% today
  • Tom Cotton
    Volume$28.00
    Price99¢
    -1.03% today
  • Brian Schatz
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +3.09% today
  • Chris Murphy
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +3.09% today
  • Chris Van Hollen
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +3.09% today
  • Cory Booker
    Volume$0.00
    Price99¢
    +3.09% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?. The leading outcome is John Thune, with an estimated probability of 50% and a Yes contract price of $0.55. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader? is Jan 3, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using U.S. Senate as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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Live odds on 120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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