
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Upstart Holdings Inc. demonstrated substantial growth, with loan volumes increasing by 127.5% year-over-year to 428,056, driven by strong performance among near-prime borrowers and emerging product offerings. The company is projected to achieve revenue growth of 63% year-over-year in 2025, alongside a significant improvement in EBITDA margins, anticipated to rise from 20% to 30% by 2026, supported by over 90% automation in originations. Furthermore, Upstart's strategic focus on underwriting quality, enhanced by advancements in their artificial intelligence capabilities, positions the company to boost long-term profitability and sustain growth momentum.
Bears say
Upstart Holdings Inc reported third-quarter revenues and fourth-quarter guidance that fell short of forecasts, primarily due to conservative responses in its AI-powered risk models amid uncertain macroeconomic conditions, leading to a significant drop in conversion rates. Although the company saw a 30% quarter-over-quarter increase in applications without notable deterioration in consumer credit strength, the potential for higher loan loss rates could negatively impact investor demand and valuation of loans on Upstart's balance sheet. Additionally, the anticipated decline in contribution margins and a lowered revenue projection for the fourth quarter further signal concerns about the company's growth trajectory and market competitiveness.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Upstart Holdings and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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