
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Upstart Holdings Inc. has demonstrated substantial growth, with loan volumes increasing by 127.5% year-over-year to 428,056, driven by strong demand from near-prime borrowers and emerging loan products. The company's projected revenue growth of 63% in 2025 and 16% in 2026, combined with relatively moderate operating expense growth, suggests a healthier profitability outlook, supported by expected improvements in EBITDA margins. Furthermore, Upstart's commitment to enhancing its underwriting model and effectively utilizing artificial intelligence is anticipated to boost both underwriting quality and long-term profitability.
Bears say
Upstart Holdings Inc's third-quarter 2025 revenues fell short of expectations, driven by conservative responses in its risk models amidst macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to a significant drop in conversion rates exceeding 300 basis points quarter-over-quarter. While the management reported a notable increase in application volumes, the anticipated decline in fourth-quarter guidance and lower contribution margins indicate potential pressures on profitability and growth. Furthermore, emerging concerns about elevated loan loss rates may negatively affect investor demand and valuations, contributing to a bearish sentiment around the stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Upstart Holdings and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Upstart Holdings (UPST) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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