
Trex (TREX) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Trex (TREX) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Trex Co Inc has experienced impressive growth in product sales, with new products launched in the last 36 months now contributing 25% of trailing twelve-month sales, indicating strong consumer acceptance despite challenging macroeconomic conditions. Management's refreshed marketing initiatives and planned investments for 2025 have positively influenced early purchase indicators, including improved website traffic and sample orders, while contractors have reported a modest 2%-3% growth in decking project activity in the year-to-date. The company is poised for a robust revenue growth trajectory over the next few years, fueled by a recovery in the renovation market, increasing wood conversion share, and operational efficiencies that are anticipated to enhance margins significantly.
Bears say
Trex Co Inc has significantly adjusted its financial outlook, lowering its fiscal year 2025 sales guidance to flat growth from a prior estimate of 5-7%, which reflects deteriorating consumer demand and increased channel destocking. The company reported a fourth-quarter revenue forecast of $140-150 million, indicating a drastic sequential decline of 50%, and has cut its projected adjusted EBITDA margin to 28.0-28.5%, down from over 31%. Additionally, the stock has experienced a considerable drop, trading down 25% after-hours, which echoes broader market concerns and a reset of growth expectations amid heightened competition.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Trex and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Trex (TREX) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
Start investing in Trex (TREX)
Order type
Buy in
Order amount
Est. shares
0 shares