SITE Stock Forecast & Price Target

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc is projecting a steady increase in EBITDA, with expectations for 2025 reaching $410 million, reflecting an upward trend in EBITDA margins compared to previous years. The company anticipates positive volume growth for the remainder of the year, leading to guidance of organic daily sales growth of approximately +2.5% in the fourth quarter, an improvement from earlier estimates. Overall, these financial indicators suggest a solid performance and strong market positioning, supporting a positive outlook for the company.

The financial outlook for SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc. appears to be negative due to several key factors, including a reduction in expected growth rates, with FY’26 estimates revised down to +0.5% from +1% amid a weaker residential outlook. Additionally, pricing pressures stemming from significant grass seed deflation, which is projected at approximately -10% to -20% year-over-year in the second half of the fiscal year, have contributed to subdued pricing and a largely flat overall price guide for the fiscal year. Lastly, the decrease in EBITDA guidance from the previous midpoint and the persistent stabilization in pricing dynamics within the competitive landscape suggest challenges in maintaining profitability and growth moving forward.