SITE Stock Forecast & Price Target

SiteOne Landscape Supply Inc. shows a positive financial outlook, highlighted by a steady EBITDA growth of 1% to 3%, with an estimated EBITDA of $410 million for 2025. The company's EBITDA margin is projected to improve year-over-year, with a margin increase of 30 basis points compared to the consensus estimate, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency. Additionally, the company's organic daily sales are expected to rise in the second half of the year, reflecting a solid demand trend as it continues to gain market share, with fourth-quarter organic daily sales growth anticipated at 2.5%.

SiteOne Landscape Supply's financial outlook appears negative due to a downgraded revenue projection for FY’26E, with growth expectations declining to +0.5% from an earlier estimate of +1%, largely influenced by a weakened residential market. Additionally, the company's pricing environment remains challenging, as indicated by significant grass seed deflation expected in the second half of the year, which has contributed to subdued pricing trends and an overall flat forecast for fiscal year pricing. Finally, a downward revision of the EBITDA guidance reinforces concerns, with the midpoint of the revised range falling below market expectations, signaling potential struggles ahead in maintaining profitability.