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NVAX
Volume: 8.39M

Novavax (NVAX) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Novavax (NVAX) Analyst Ratings

Based on 6 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 50%
Buy 17%
Hold 17%
Sell 17%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Novavax is positioned favorably because Matrix-M appears to be a differentiated, human-use adjuvant with a potentially safer profile and broad applicability, which can support both internal pipeline development and high-value external partnerships across infectious disease and oncology. Its collaboration momentum is notable, with four top-ten global pharmaceutical companies and 30+ unique fields under exploration, while Nuvaxovid’s commercial profile remains attractive through high-teens to low-20s royalties, encouraging Q1:26 sales of €16MM, and projected 19% to 26% standalone COVID-19 market share by 2030. The outlook is further supported by an estimated $40-50MM in 2026 product supply sales and a target for a $200MM core-expense run-rate, which together suggest improving operating leverage and multiple avenues for value creation.

Bears say

Novavax is viewed negatively because its core COVID-19 vaccine opportunity appears to be shrinking, with surveyed physicians expecting an 11% decline in vaccinated U.S. adults in the 2026-27 season and IQVIA Rx data indicating roughly a 26% decline in COVID-19 vaccine prescriptions through 12/26/25. At the same time, new FDA/CDC guidelines implemented in '25 limit access for people without risk factors, while market-share expectations for Nuvaxovid in 2030 remain only 19% from physicians and 26% from payors, underscoring constrained commercial upside. Beyond demand pressure, the company still faces typical biotech risks—clinical safety surprises, regulatory delays, IP challenges, and failure to develop a successful combo or variant-specific boosters—making execution and valuation highly uncertain.

Novavax (NVAX) has been analyzed by 6 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 50% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 17% recommend Buy, 17% suggest Holding, 17% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Novavax and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Novavax (NVAX) Forecast

Analysts have given Novavax (NVAX) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 6 analysts, Novavax (NVAX) has a Buy consensus rating as of Oct 8, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $14, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $14, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Novavax (NVAX)

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