
NOG Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOG Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Northern Oil & Gas is set to pivot from initial capital spending expectations of $250-300 million, positioning itself for significant growth heading into FY26, even amid a modest decline in front-month WTI prices year-to-date. The company anticipates a robust reinvestment rate of 79% for FY26, indicating strong capital commitment to its operations and growth initiatives. Additionally, a projected leverage ratio of 1.6x at annualized 4Q26 EBITDA surpasses the peer median of less than 0.9x, suggesting Northern Oil & Gas is managing its financial metrics favorably in comparison to industry standards.
Bears say
Northern Oil & Gas is facing a significant downward revision in its production outlook, with projected oil production for FY26 declining to 73.9 mbbls/d from earlier estimates of approximately 84 mbbls/d, indicating a notable reduction in growth expectations. The company is also expected to experience a sequential decline in production for 3Q25 and maintain similar output levels in 4Q25, which raises concerns about its operational efficiency and growth trajectory. Additionally, the projected enterprise value to free cash flow yields of 11.9% for FY25 and 9.2% for FY26 are significantly lower than the small and mid-cap peer group averages of 13.3% and 15.9%, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to market expectations.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Northern Oil and Gas and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
NOG Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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