
NOG Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOG Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Northern Oil & Gas is positioned for future growth with a projected capital expenditure of $250-300 million aimed at driving growth into FY26, showcasing a commitment to reinvestment in its operations. The company anticipates a high reinvestment rate of 79% in FY26, which indicates a strong focus on utilizing revenues to enhance production capabilities. Additionally, the expected leverage of 1.6x at annualized 4Q26 EBITDA is significantly above peer medians, suggesting a robust capacity for financial management and growth relative to industry standards.
Bears say
Northern Oil & Gas is facing a negative outlook due to a significant downward revision in production estimates, projecting 73.9 mbbls/d of oil and 134.3 mboe/d total production for FY26, compared to earlier expectations of 78.4 mbbls/d and 140.1 mboe/d. This decline is indicative of a broader trend, with sequential production declines expected in 3Q25 and a stabilization at the same level as 2Q25 in 4Q25. Furthermore, the company's forecast EV/FCF yield of 9.2% for FY26 remains below the SMID peer group average of 15.9%, highlighting concerns regarding its competitive positioning within the industry.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Northern Oil and Gas and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
NOG Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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