
NOG Stock Forecast & Price Target
NOG Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Northern Oil & Gas Inc is strategically pivoting its capital expenditure plans, now projecting a spend of $250-300 million to support growth through FY26, which reflects a proactive approach to capital management amidst fluctuating crude oil prices. The company anticipates a robust reinvestment rate of 79% for FY26, significantly higher than peer medians, indicating a strong commitment to growth and development. Additionally, with a projected leverage of 1.6x at annualized 4Q26 EBITDA, Northern Oil & Gas demonstrates financial stability and resilience compared to its peers, which have a leverage ratio below 0.9x.
Bears say
Northern Oil & Gas Inc. is facing a negative outlook due to a significant reduction in expected oil production, now projected at 73.9 mbbls/d for FY26 compared to previous estimates and a notable drop from earlier expectations of approximately 84 mbbls/d. This decline in production is compounded by the company's anticipated sequential decrease in production levels in the second half of FY25, which raises concerns about future performance. Additionally, despite projected strip EV/FCF yields of 11.9% in FY25 and 9.2% in FY26, these figures remain below the SMID peer group averages of 13.3% and 15.9%, indicating weaker relative financial performance.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Northern Oil and Gas and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
NOG Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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