
Vail Resorts (MTN) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Vail Resorts (MTN) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Vail Resorts is a leading global ski mountain resort operator with a strong supply-demand fundamentals, high income and fanatic customers and zero net supply growth. With a transition in leadership to industry-legend, Rob Katz, and a stable window ticket sales and growth in pass sales, Vail Resorts is poised for multiple mean reversion and a buy rating. FY26 resort-reported EBITDA is estimated to be $745M to $775M, compared to the previous estimate of just below $842-$898M, and season-to-date lift ticket revenue is tracking -3.6% compared to the consensus estimate of +0.3%.
Bears say
Vail Resorts is facing challenges in its core Mountain segment due to lower than expected Resort Adj. EBITDA and revenue, driven by poor weather conditions. The company's recent strategic changes under returning CEO Rob Katz have yet to show a significant impact, and the potential impact of softer window ticket sales on Epic Pass conversions will likely be a factor in future performance. The downside risks to the company's rating and price target include macroeconomic risks, maturity in the Epic Pass, weather dependence, and potential disappointing returns from European M&A ventures. The company has also seen decreases in ski school revenue and has used share repurchases to try and offset this. These factors, along with a high fixed cost structure and other risks such as demographics and climate change, contribute to a negative outlook on Vail Resorts' stock.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Vail Resorts and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Vail Resorts (MTN) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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