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MELI

MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

MercadoLibre (MELI) Analyst Ratings

Based on 12 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 25%
Buy 50%
Hold 25%
Sell 0%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

MercadoLibre is well positioned because its platform continues to take share in a winner-take-most market, with Brazil e-commerce share at 49.2% after an estimated ~410 bps y/y gain and the eleventh consecutive quarter of share gains. Its ecosystem is strengthening as Marketplace scale, fulfillment, advertising, Mercado Pago, and Mercado Credito reinforce one another, while partnerships like Magazine Luiza and Casas Bahia further validate its dominance and broaden supply. Financially, the company is combining growth with improving quality: 2Q26 GMV was $21.9B, TPV $101.0B, Adjusted EBITDA $975MM, and consolidated NIMAL rose 290 bps q/q, supporting the view that expansion remains profitable.

Bears say

MercadoLibre is facing a deteriorating fundamental setup because competitive pressure from local and APAC players could intensify just as weaker e-commerce and payment adoption in Latin America threatens growth across both its marketplace and fintech segments. Margin trends are also slipping, with a 20 bps sequential operating margin decline driven by 280 bps of gross margin compression that only partly offset 260 bps of opex leverage, while Mexico saw 430 bps of contribution margin compression and Argentina 210 bps. On top of that, adverse regulation or taxation, currency depreciation, wider Argentina dollar spreads, higher funding costs, and a regional macro downturn could hurt GMV, loan losses, and profitability.

MercadoLibre (MELI) has been analyzed by 12 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 25% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 50% recommend Buy, 25% suggest Holding, 0% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of MercadoLibre and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

MercadoLibre (MELI) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction

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FAQs About MercadoLibre (MELI) Forecast

Analysts have given MercadoLibre (MELI) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 12 analysts, MercadoLibre (MELI) has a Buy consensus rating as of Oct 27, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $2,315, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $2,315, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

MercadoLibre (MELI)


MercadoLibre (MELI) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction

Get the latest MercadoLibre (MELI) stock forecast, including analyst ratings and price predictions, with real-time AI-powered fundamental data and custom analysis

Start investing in MercadoLibre (MELI)

Order type

Buy in

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Est. shares

0 shares

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