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MELI
Volume: 389.86K

MercadoLibre (MELI) Stock Forecast & Price Target

MercadoLibre (MELI) Analyst Ratings

Based on 12 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 25%
Buy 50%
Hold 25%
Sell 0%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

MercadoLibre is viewed positively because it combines dominant scale in Latin American e-commerce with a rapidly strengthening fintech ecosystem, making it difficult for rivals to displace its position as both a marketplace and payments platform. The company’s leadership is reinforced by continued market-share gains in Brazil, where e-commerce share is estimated at 49.2% and fintech momentum is supported by TPV growth above 30% in 2Q26, while credit revenue in Brazil grew about 66% in local FX and older card cohorts are increasingly reaching profitability. Despite some margin pressure from discounts, shipping, and acquisition spend, the business still generated $683MM in operating profit and $975MM in Adjusted EBITDA in the quarter, with consolidated net interest margin after losses rising 290 bps q/q to 20.3% and credit-card NPLs near all-time lows at 4.6%, underscoring a high-quality growth profile.

Bears say

MercadoLibre is a dominant Latin American platform with more than 120 million unique active buyers and 1 million active sellers, but a negative outlook is justified because its revenue base is concentrated in Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico, leaving it highly exposed to regional macroeconomic weakness, currency depreciation versus the dollar, and country-specific regulatory or tax changes. Its growth engines in e-commerce and fintech remain attractive, yet the provided risk factors point to mounting pressure from competitive intensity, weaker-than-expected adoption in marketplace and payments, and higher funding costs or tighter spreads in financial lending, all of which could impair GMV, TPV, and loan performance. Even with recent operational progress such as broad-based GMV upside, credit book growth above 75% y/y, and NIMAL margin expansion of 3 points quarter over quarter, the need to partner with rivals like Magazine Luiza and Casas Bahia underscores that market share gains may be increasingly hard-won and that sustainability of margin expansion is vulnerable in a downturn.

MercadoLibre (MELI) has been analyzed by 12 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 25% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 50% recommend Buy, 25% suggest Holding, 0% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of MercadoLibre and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About MercadoLibre (MELI) Forecast

Analysts have given MercadoLibre (MELI) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 12 analysts, MercadoLibre (MELI) has a Buy consensus rating as of Oct 5, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $2,348.33, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $2,348.33, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

MercadoLibre (MELI)

Volume: 389.86K

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