Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Mondelez International has demonstrated a robust performance with organic sales growth of 3.4%, supported by an 8% increase in pricing, indicating effective pricing strategies amidst a competitive landscape. The company's categories continue to outperform peers, showcasing growth over 4% year to date, and it holds or gains market share in 70% of its categories, reflecting strong brand positioning and consumer demand. With expectations for high single-digit earnings per share growth in 2026 and significant revenue potential from emerging markets contributing to approximately 40% of sales, Mondelez is well-positioned for sustainable growth moving forward.

Mondelez International has reduced its 2025 guidance for organic sales growth to over 4%, down from a previous estimate of approximately 5%, while projecting a 15% decline in earnings per share (EPS) compared to earlier expectations of a 10% decline, largely due to deteriorating consumer confidence in North America and heightened price sensitivity in Europe. The company's gross and operating profits decreased significantly by 20.5% and 32.6% respectively, with a contraction in margins exceeding 1,000 basis points, primarily driven by escalating cocoa costs. Additionally, the forecasted EPS for 2025 has been adjusted downward from $3.01 to $2.89 and for 2026 from $3.27 to $3.10, indicating ongoing challenges in achieving management's earnings growth targets.