Mondelez (MDLZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Mondelez International has demonstrated robust performance with organic sales growth of 3.4%, propelled by an 8% increase in pricing, while the company continues to outpace peers with category growth exceeding 4% year to date and maintaining or gaining market share in 70% of its categories. The firm's presence in key emerging markets, which represent approximately 40% of its sales, reinforces its potential for stronger revenue growth, coupled with an anticipated EPS growth rate in the high single digits for 2026 due to favorable cocoa costs and strategic pricing adjustments. With expectations of a sequential improvement in organic sales performance in the upcoming quarter and a return to balanced growth, Mondelez is well-positioned for sustained financial health and operational success.

Mondelez International has lowered its 2025 guidance for organic sales growth from approximately 5% to over 4% and revised its earnings per share (EPS) forecast down by about 15%, highlighting a significant decline in consumer confidence particularly in North America. The company reported a substantial decline in gross profit and operating profit, with decreases of 20.5% and 32.6%, respectively, influenced by increased cocoa costs and a contraction in margins exceeding 1,000 basis points. Additionally, the firm anticipates lower-than-expected EBIT margins, especially in Europe, reflecting the adverse impact of rising costs and shifting consumer behavior towards lower-priced alternatives.