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MCRI
Volume: 74.14K

MCRI Stock Forecast & Price Target

MCRI Analyst Ratings

Based on 4 analyst ratings
Hold
Strong Buy 25%
Buy 0%
Hold 75%
Sell 0%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Monarch Casino & Resort is attractive fundamentally because it combines a pristine balance sheet with $138.3M of net cash and no debt as of 6/30, disciplined capital allocation, and ongoing shareholder returns through a recurring $0.30/share dividend and buybacks, while still preserving flexibility for opportunistic acquisitions or development optionality at Atlantis. Its operating profile is also improving, as 2Q26 net revenue/Adj. EBITDA of $142.6M/$53.0M and 1Q26 revenue/Adj. EBITDA of $136.6M/$49.0M show resilient demand, with gaming, hotel, and food & beverage revenues all growing and margins supported by operating leverage, better labor management, higher room availability after renovations, and stronger group and convention business. The outlook is further reinforced by market share gains at Black Hawk and Atlantis, favorable regional fundamentals in Reno and the Denver area, full real estate ownership of market-leading assets, and management’s ability to convert share gains into durable EBITDA growth even amid wage inflation and a competitive gaming backdrop.

Bears say

Monarch Casino & Resort is a founder-led, two-property regional gaming operator that faces a fundamentally mixed-to-negative setup because its business is highly exposed to discretionary consumer spending, weather disruptions, and market-specific competitive risks in Reno and Black Hawk. Although the company has shown operational resilience, including a reported +12% Q1 Adj. EBITDA beat and stable Q2TD visitation/spending, the improvement appears driven in part by easy comps and product-led share gains rather than a clearly durable acceleration, while persistent risks such as elevated fuel costs, promotional pressure in Reno, potential new supply, gaming tax hikes, sticky wage inflation, and possible iGaming legislation in Colorado remain meaningful. With valuation already anchored around ~9x 2027E EBITDA and a ~6.5% 2027E FCF yield, the stock offers limited margin of safety against macro uncertainty and competitive or regulatory setbacks, making the outlook cautious despite respectable assets and a high-income player mix.

MCRI has been analyzed by 4 analysts, with a consensus rating of Hold. 25% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 0% recommend Buy, 75% suggest Holding, 0% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Monarch Casino & Resort and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) Forecast

Analysts have given MCRI a Hold based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 4 analysts, MCRI has a Hold consensus rating as of Oct 7, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $128.50, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $128.50, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI)

Volume: 74.14K

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