
LION Stock Forecast & Price Target
LION Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Lionsgate Studios is supported by a sharp FY1Q beat, with revenue of $777M (+48% Y/Y) and AOBIDA of $79M, while Motion Picture revenue surged 120% Y/Y to $587M and delivered its best segment profit historically at $105M. Its outlook is further strengthened by a deepening franchise pipeline, including Michael’s $1B+ global box office, The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping, The Resurrection of the Christ: Part One, and a material Netflix licensing deal, alongside a backlog that rose 20%+ Y/Y to $1.5B. In addition, leverage is improving faster than expected, with net debt-to-TTM AOBIDA down to 4.3x from 6.1x last quarter, and FY27 estimates point to $3.313B in revenue, $364M in AOBIDA, and $147M in FCF.
Bears say
Lionsgate Studios is weighed down by a hit-driven, capital-intensive model in an intensely competitive market, where unpredictable audience demand and rapid change can quickly disrupt results. Its financial performance has been inconsistent, with adjusted FCF of $84M in FY25 swinging to ($107M) in FY26, underscoring weak cash generation and release timing risk. At FY26-end, debt stood at $1.979B, leverage was 6.1x net debt to TTM AOBIDA, roughly 80% was variable rate, and $1.959B of film-related obligations plus $1.456B of next-12-month debt service constrain flexibility and shareholder returns.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Lionsgate Studios Corp and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
LION Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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