KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF

KMLM aims to track an index of long and short managed futures, based on a trend following methodology. The fund allocates to commodity, currency and global fixed income futures based on relative historical volatility.

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ETFs mitigate risks associated with individual stocks, which can suffer permanent catastrophic returns or bankruptcy, even AAA-rated companies like Microsoft and Johnson & Johnson. My ZEUS Family Portfolio for 2025 will buy six ETFs, aiming for a 6.5% long-term annual withdrawal rate, including charity and living expenses. Dividend-focused ETFs like SCHD and DGRW don't meet my portfolio's return potential, but growth and hedging ETFs, like the Mount Lucas managed futures ETF, offer significant benefits.

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KMLM is an 8% variable-yielding ETF (it pays out annual profits as dividends, which have averaged 8% since 1988). KMLM tracks the best-performing managed futures index of the last 40 years. The MLM index has averaged 32% gains in the six bear markets since 1990, compared to the S&P's 32% average decline.

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KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF is an 8.2% yielding ETF that pays out 100% of profits yearly as cash dividends (historical yield since 1988). Diversification with non-correlated assets, like managed futures, can generate "free alpha" and improve portfolio returns while significantly reducing portfolio volatility. KMLM has doubled its industry returns since 1988, thanks to its focus on 100% rules-based trend following, the most effective investing strategy of the last 800 years.

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A hot inflation report has sent bond yields soaring as the bond market prices out yet another Fed rate cut. The market is now priced for the first cut in September and just three in the next year. The US economy is still accelerating, with GDP growth estimates being raised for Q1 and Q2.

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After a sturdy run so far this year, Wall Street started to waver in mid-March, following the release of hot U.S. inflation data and the rise in bond yields.

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KMLM: A Good Managed Futures Option For Diversification

This year continues to follow in the footsteps of 2023, marked by increased investor optimism but ongoing uncertainty. For now, much remains unknown, and a higher January inflation print only proves the challenges that still lie ahead.

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Once again, it's time to take a closer look at an ETF hitting its three-year milestone. Traditionally, that marks the moment when an ETF receives new attention and access to certain brokers.

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KMLM is an ETF that follows a systematic trend-following, volatility-weighted futures strategy in commodities, currencies, and fixed income. The ETF has made changes in its exposures and positions this month, including reducing short exposure to currencies by 25% and raising net commodity exposure to 9%. KMLM is still fully short bonds despite the Fed, ECB, and BOE all hinting at or calling out "peak rates."

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Market volatility and ongoing investor uncertainty were hallmarks for much of the year. In an environment of elevated inflation and interest rates, advisors and investors increasingly turned to alternatives to diversify their portfolios.

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The KFA Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF is my preferred low-cost way to access managed futures strategies. Although WTMF has outperformed KMLM in the short run, the drawback is it is positively correlated to markets, which reduces its diversification benefits. Compared to DBMF, KMLM does not suffer from lagged response and over-concentration in a few key instruments.

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Amina, the most incredible woman I've ever met, just sold her real estate business for $20 million after taxes. She's 47 and looking to become a professional philanthropist. She wants to harness the power of dividend stocks to create a perpetual charitable portfolio to donate millions each year and eventually billions to save lives. Here's how I created a high-yield dividend growth portfolio for her, capable of 15% annual returns for this real-life black panther-like superhero.

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My family has been rocked by an unrelenting string of medical and life crises. Fortunately, my family's charity hedge fund is saving us from bankruptcy and despair. I've updated my family's ZEUS Income Growth fund plan to include my best ideas right now. In other words, if I had $2.5 million in cash, this is what I'd buy. This portfolio yields 4.2%, has 13.7% long-term return potential, better than the Nasdaq, and analysts expect it to potentially quadruple over the next decade.

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Looking for a managed futures ETF? Managed futures strategies appeal to investors looking for total return, with such funds becoming increasingly popular in recent years.

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Trend following (managed futures) performs well in the long run, with less risk, and offers crisis alpha during equity downturns. The KFA Mount Lucas Index Strategy ETF tracks the Mount Lucas Index and provides diversification benefits thanks to its low correlation to other asset classes. KMLM has performed well since its inception in 2022, outperforming the S&P 500 while offering lower risk and drawdowns.

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In an environment of pronounced volatility and less-than-certain equity and bond performance in the last few years, investors are leaning toward more complex strategies such as alternatives. Managed futures are one such strategy, equally complex and alluring for the strong diversification they can bring to portfolios.

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In a blow to equities and the outlook for another Fed interest rate hike, June's private sector jobs doubled expectations. Major equity indexes dropped, and the 2-year Treasury soared to highs not seen since 2007.

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The NY Fed estimates a 68% recession probability within the next 12 months, the highest risk in 42 years. Dividend aristocrats can provide a relatively safe investment option during a recession, with a history of raising dividends through economic downturns and much lower volatility. A diversified high-yield portfolio of dividend aristocrats can offer market-like returns with lower volatility and higher yield.

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