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GSHD
Volume: 11

Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Analyst Ratings

Based on 12 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 17%
Buy 42%
Hold 33%
Sell 8%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Goosehead Insurance is fundamentally attractive because it is producing strong revenue and earnings acceleration, with 2Q26 adjusted operating EPS of $0.64 versus $0.48 expected, adjusted EBITDA of $37.9M versus $30.1M expected, and revenue up 20.6% to $113.4M, all while generating $15.9M of operating cash flow and repurchasing $3.9M of stock. Its outlook is supported by improving operating leverage and distribution quality, as contingent commissions lifted margins to 33.5% in 2Q26, 1H26 revenue rose 21.7%, total written premiums grew 13.5%, client retention is expected to reach 86% for FY26, and management continues to expand the corporate agent footprint while the digital agent rollout and strong carrier appetite support longer-term growth. Even with normalizing contingents and investment in Digital Agent 2.0 creating some margin pressure, the company’s asset-light insurance distribution model, lack of underwriting risk, diversified multi-line product set, and evidence of durable share repurchase capacity point to a business with resilient growth and improving profitability.

Bears say

Goosehead Insurance is vulnerable because its valuation assumes a long runway of earnings and revenue growth, yet management itself expects Comp & Benefits to rise in the high teens to low 20% in FY26, likely outpacing core revenue and pressuring margins. The business also faces meaningful volatility from contingency commissions and catastrophe exposure, with management noting that first-quarter contingency strength reflected true-ups and that future results still depend on whether hail, hurricanes, or fires occur, while digital investment continues at a $25M-$30M 2026 spend run-rate that may weigh on near-term profitability. In addition, the company carries elevated key-person, regulatory, and interest-rate risk, and rising discount rates or any slowdown in growth could compress the rich multiple that currently depends on continued expansion in its single insurance distribution segment.

Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) has been analyzed by 12 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 17% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 42% recommend Buy, 33% suggest Holding, 8% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Goosehead Insurance and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) Forecast

Analysts have given Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 12 analysts, Goosehead Insurance (GSHD) has a Buy consensus rating as of Oct 5, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $74.42, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $74.42, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Goosehead Insurance (GSHD)

Volume: 11

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