
FSBC Stock Forecast & Price Target
FSBC Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Five Star is benefiting from a strong mix of balance-sheet growth, expanding net interest income, and disciplined funding costs, with NII rising to $43.5M as NIM widened 4bp to 3.70% and average earning assets grew 18% LQA. Its 1Q26 EPS of $0.87 exceeded expectations, while loan growth of 13.6% LQA and deposit growth of 25.9% LQA underscore durable franchise momentum across CRE and core funding channels. Asset quality remains stable, with NPAs at 7bp of loans+REO, ACL at 1.10%, and only modest NCOs, supporting confidence that earnings growth can continue alongside prudent credit management.
Bears say
Five Star is facing a negative outlook because its balance sheet remains highly exposed to concentrated commercial real estate risk, with CRE/TRBC around 624% and 30 largest borrowers representing 31% of loans outstanding, leaving asset quality vulnerable if California real estate weakens. Although deposits grew strongly, with EOP deposits up 25.5% LQA and core deposits up 40.4% LQA, the quality of funding still looks uneven as wholesale deposits fell $82M Q/Q and management wants them eliminated by year-end, highlighting reliance on a few larger relationships. In a lower-for-longer rate environment, the company’s net interest margin faces ongoing pressure from lower new loan yields, while below-average liquidity and concentration in Sacramento and California amplify downside risk.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Five Star Bancorp and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
FSBC Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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