iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF

EWM tracks a market-cap-weighted index of Malaysian stocks primarily traded on the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange.

iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF aims to track Malaysian equities, with heavy concentration in financials. Malaysia offers potential undervalued opportunities as global companies outsource production away from China. Lack of profit growth and flat EPS trends contribute to Malaysia's stock market underperformance.

EWM: Not A Lot Of Light At The End Of The Tunnel For Malaysian Stocks

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While the China macro story of ongoing transition is a headwind to the rest of Asia, there is more to the region's economic health than this.

Asia-Pacific Is Not Just China

The iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF is heavily exposed to financials and the performance of the Malaysian Ringgit. There is potential upside for EWM due to likely monetary policy evolutions for financials and the Ringgit. The political situation in Malaysia is uncertain, but it seems to be improving, as stability in the government seems to be the main concern.

EWM: Ringgit Might Perform

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The total nominal GDP of the ten ASEAN nations measured in US dollar terms amounted to USD 3.6 trillion in 2022, more than doubling compared with total GDP of USD 1.6 trillion in 2009. Singapore's GDP growth rate improved to a pace of 2.8% y/y in the fourth quarter of 2023 according to the advance estimate of GDP from the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI).

ASEAN Economic Outlook In 2024

With moderating inflation levels in most Asian countries and great growth potential in the medium to long term, investing in Emerging Asian countries can prove beneficial.

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Emerging Asia countries can be great investment opportunities in the medium to long term. With rating agencies revising their 2024 growth projections for these countries upwards, look into how they stand to gain and what funds investors can invest in to gain exposure.

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Malaysian economic growth moderated to a pace of 2.9% year-on-year (y/y) in the second quarter of 2023, compared to growth of 5.6% y/y in the first quarter of 2023. Merchandise exports have been weak during the first seven months of 2023, declining by 5.9% y/y.

Malaysian Economy Moderates In Mid-2023

With inflation pressures swiftly cooling off, the Malaysian monetary policy stance is turning increasingly accommodative. Earnings growth estimates also remain solid despite the external headwinds. Alongside several technical tailwinds, the reasonably priced iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF could see more upside from here.

EWM: Clearer Skies Ahead For Malaysian Stocks

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According to S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data, output growth across emerging economies excluding mainland China recorded its strongest quarterly average for 12 years in the second quarter of 2023. Monetary policy makers in emerging markets were far more pro-active in raising interest rates early to combat rising inflation than their peers in the advanced economies.

Emerging Markets Perform Resiliently In The Year-To-Date Despite Growing Cyclical Headwinds

The iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF's poor performance in recent years has extended into 2023. But with earnings growth intact and the rate hike cycle likely at an end, there is light at the end of the tunnel.

EWM: Malaysian Equities May Be Close To A Bottom

The iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF offers investors low-cost exposure to Malaysian equities, albeit through a concentrated investment vehicle. As the ETF retains an outsized exposure to the major banks, it should track the broader economic performance well.

EWM: A Cheaply Priced Emerging Market Growth Play

Against the challenging environment and increasingly dimming economy globally in 2022, Southeast Asian countries represent a rare part of the world that have delivered impressive resilience. The heavier exposure to value-driven sectors also leads the FTSE ASEAN Index to deliver a relatively higher yield than the broader global markets.

Amid 2022's Equity Pain, Southeast Asia Has Been An Overlooked Gem

EWM invests in Malaysian equities. While markets tend to lead the real economy, and the regional economy may be bottoming cyclically, I do not think EWM is priced for a bounce-back.

EWM: Malaysian Equities Are Firmly Overvalued

Key drivers for rising FDI inflows into Southeast Asia include diversification of manufacturing supply chains by multinationals, as well as new investments to tap rapidly growing consumer markets in ASEAN. In the near-term, FDI inflows to the ASEAN region are also expected to be supported by the resilience of Southeast Asia to the slowdown in the US and EU during 2022.

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Non-China Asian exports are still growing, but the pace of increase has slowed and will slow still further as key export destinations struggle with inflation, energy security, and rising recession risks. In year-on-year terms, the rate of overall export growth is now skirting single-digits again.

Asian Exports Are Softening

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EWM invests in Malaysian stocks, which have maintained a bearish trend for over a year now. From a cyclical standpoint, including EWM's key sector exposures, EWM does not look well positioned.

EWM: The Bearish Trend Of Malaysian Stocks Is Likely To Persist

The ASEAN region has shown a strong rebound in manufacturing output during October. As a result of the severe negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and widespread lockdowns and travel bans, many ASEAN economies were in deep recession during 2020.

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iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF - For Investors Who Can Digest Elevated Risks

Malaysia equities appear to be fairly priced, but with no margin of safety. EWM is exposed mainly to bank stocks, and these stocks are not likely to outperform given how low interest rates are.

EWM: Malaysian Equities Are Fairly Priced With No Margin Of Safety

Malaysian equities look more attractive than U.S. equities from a valuation standpoint. However, EWM (a Malaysia-focused ETF) is heavily exposed to the local Financials sector.

EWM: Malaysian Equities Are Affordable But Unexciting

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The value-investing concept remains on the defensive, although some variations of the strategy are showing hints of a revival in recent months after an extended drought.

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The Malaysian central bank has reported a 3.4% contraction in 4Q20 GDP, which is a much bleaker result if compared to a 2.6% decline in 3Q20. Some pundits consider that a 25 bps cut in the overnight policy rate is exceedingly likely. In theory, this can result in the weakening of MYR.

EWM: Tepidly Optimistic

News for iShares MSCI Malaysia ETF ETF (EWM)