Credicorp

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Intercorp Financial Services Inc

iShares MSCI Peru ETF

EPU tracks a market-cap-weighted index of Peruvian firms.

EPU is passively managed to track market cap -weighted index that seeks to provide broad Peru equity exposure. Selection includes a minimum number of Peruvian securities and issuers before expanding exposure to those stocks with related exposure.

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US equities have outperformed the rest of the world for a long time now. While the US is up 58% on a total return basis during the current bull market, the rest of the world is up 13.5 percentage points less at +44.5%. Looking at the international dividend ETF over a longer time frame, over the last five years, it's up 20.6% in price and more than double that on a total return basis.

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Peru offers macroeconomic stability with strong fundamentals and growth potential, supported by new mining projects and structural reforms. iShares MSCI Peru ETF provides targeted exposure to Peru's resource-driven growth, with top holdings in the financial and materials sectors. EPU outperformed competing ETFs this year, but its concentration in top holdings poses risks if commodity prices drop or Peru's economic situation worsens.

EPU: A Copper Play When The Time Is Right

Investors seeking momentum may have iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF EPU on radar now. The fund recently hit a new 52-week high.

Peru ETF (EPU) Hits New 52-Week High

The iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF is heavily focused on copper-related stocks. Copper prices have been rising due to supply issues, benefiting companies like Southern Copper and driving the performance of the EPU ETF. The strength of copper also supports the Peruvian Sol, mitigating the impact of rate cuts on financial businesses like Credicorp.

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Earlier this year, the Visual Capitalist published an infographic highlighting the global growth forecast from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for various countries worldwide in 2023. If you use country ETFs for tactical asset allocation, I have no doubt you'd be interested in this information.

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Peru, and thus iShares MSCI Peru ETF, may not outperform as well as it did in 2009 and 2010. The market still trades at a premium to Colombia and Brazil. Political risks could result in a pullback in the market, hurting iShares MSCI Peru ETF.

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The MSCI Latin America Index has performed better than the MSCI Emerging Market Index cumulatively over the past 5 and 7 years as well as over longer time periods, buoyed by its natural resource companies. The region is well placed to take advantage of the opportunities created by the renewable energy revolution with 54% of global lithium reserves concentrated there.

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EPU is a concentrated Peruvian equity portfolio. The fund offers a high multi-year IRR potential.

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Economies of Latin America and Caribbean have continued their strong post-pandemic rebound, but the winds are shifting as global financial conditions are tightening and commodity prices are reversing their upward trend, while inflationary pressures persist. The reopening of contact-intensive sectors, especially hospitality and travel, the unwinding of pandemic pent-up demand, and still favorable external financial conditions supported a solid expansion in the first half of the year, allowing services to catch up with manufacturing, and employment to reach pre-pandemic levels.

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Wall Street witnessed its worst performance in Q1 in two years due to the Russia-Ukraine war, red-hot inflation and rising-rate worries after an upbeat 2021.

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The main disruption for Latin American traders comes from increased shipping costs and long delays to products arriving at their destinations. Latin American exporters of fruit, meat, and other perishables were not critically affected by delays until mid-2021, with perishable goods shipped through direct routes that often avoid bottlenecks.

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Latin America will start 2022 in a very fragile position given the economic fallout from the Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, a deteriorated fiscal position, weak FDI, and the erosion of real wages due to high inflation. The strong economic rebound in the second half of 2021 is likely to slow in 2022, not least because of rising policy rates (notably in Brazil).

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It is difficult to say if the Peruvian president Castillo will be influenced by the hardcore leftist PM or the more moderate FM. EPU's top two holdings that jointly account for almost half the portfolio remain particularly vulnerable under the current regulatory regime.

iShares MSCI Peru ETF: A Hazy Outlook

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News for iShares MSCI Peru ETF ETF (EPU)