CHRD Stock Forecast & Price Target

Chord Energy demonstrates a robust outlook with an increase in their 3Q25 earnings per share (EPS) and cash flow per share (CFPS) estimates to $2.50 and $10.08, respectively, driven by favorable commodity price adjustments. The company generates ample free cash flow (FCF) which not only supports growing shareholder returns but also allows for strategic resource base enhancements through accretive acquisitions. Furthermore, Chord Energy's ability to achieve capital efficiencies from drilling remains competitive within the basin, positioning it well for potential outperformance relative to industry peers over the next year.

The negative outlook on Chord Energy’s stock stems from several fundamental concerns, including weaker-than-expected results attributed to a degradation in well productivity, which may adversely affect share performance. Additionally, the company faces challenges from declining commodity prices that could further limit financial performance relative to prior expectations. Finally, the company is experiencing lower capital efficiencies and diminishing success in its core Bakken development, contributing to underperformance compared to the broader exploration and production sector.