CHRD Stock Forecast & Price Target

Chord Energy's earnings per share (EPS) and cash flow per share (CFPS) estimates for the third quarter of 2025 have been positively adjusted to $2.50 and $10.08, respectively, indicating a robust increase in financial performance due to commodity price mark-to-market and model adjustments. The company is expected to generate ample free cash flow, enabling it to enhance shareholder returns and pursue accretive acquisitions, thereby strengthening its resource base despite a plateau in broader basin production. Additionally, Chord Energy has demonstrated competitive capital efficiencies in drilling operations, positioning it favorably to outperform its peers in the upcoming year.

Chord Energy Corp's stock outlook is negatively impacted by weaker-than-expected results, including notable well productivity degradation, which could adversely affect share performance. Additionally, declining commodity prices and slightly lower capital efficiencies further contribute to a pessimistic financial forecast, particularly in light of reduced success in its core Bakken development area. Comparative performance metrics reveal that Chord Energy has underperformed its peer group, with noteworthy declines of 7.1% over the past month, 5.4% over the past three months, and 13.6% year-to-date.