ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas

BOIL provides 2x the daily return of an index that measures the price performance of natural gas as reflected through publicly traded natural gas futures contracts.

The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF provide 200% exposure to near-month natural gas futures. BOIL is not suitable for long-term investors due to futures roll decay and volatility decay. However, with the arrival of favorable seasonality and a hot summer, speculators may consider BOIL for a seasonal swing trade.

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The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL) and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) plunged hard this week as the price of natural gas collapsed. UNG has dropped in the past eight days and is hovering at its all-time low.

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ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is an ETF that tracks twice the daily performance of the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex. The outlook for natural gas prices is weak due to excess supply and weak demand, especially as we approach the end of the heating season. BOIL is not a suitable investment for those looking to profit from a potential intermediate-term recovery in gas prices, as it is subject to compounding and roll risks.

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Energy traders have been disappointed by warm winter forecasts and a very mild start to the US heating season. The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF has suffered in the last several months, but I outline a long idea should NG near key support. Trading with caution with a 2x long leveraged product like BOIL is imperative, so I focus on key risk/reward factors as the winter rolls on.

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Natural gas in storage is currently at levels near 5-year highs. This explains the recent plunge in prices as traders face growing concerns that demand for gas may weaken further. Our seasonality analysis also suggests that natural gas prices are more likely to head lower than higher in the coming weeks. With the supply of natural gas likely to increase given still historically elevated crude oil prices, we see scope for further weakness in natural gas prices in the near term.

BOIL: Natural Gas Prices May Have Further Room To Fall

The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas (BOIL) ETF has been a bad performer over the years. It has crashed by over 95% in the past 12 months and by 99.9% since inception.

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ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF is a popular investment option for those interested in natural gas. I believe natural gas could become a primary energy source due to surging demand. I don't recommend investing in the BOIL ETF for long-term gains due to its short-term focus.

BOIL And Natural Gas: The Best Way To Profit

Natural gas moves toward the peak demand season. The forward curve reflects natural gas seasonality. European prices are rising - U.K. and Dutch natural gas futures reached bottoms after all-time 2022 highs.

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The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL) provides 2x leverage to front-month natural gas futures prices. Although fundamentals have developed as I expected with an extremely hot summer driving natural gas demand, the BOIL ETF has only eked out a small gain. This is because BOIL suffers from futures roll decay and volatility decay.

BOIL: Downgrading To A Hold On Heightened Roll Decay

BOIL is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) designed to produce returns equal to twice the daily performance of the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex. Currently, BOIL's underlying index tracks the September 2023 gas futures and will roll to the November contract in August and the January 2024 contract in October. The longer-term outlook for gas prices is bullish, but the short-term prospects are mixed and prices for November 2023 and January 2024 futures already reflect significant price upside.

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A developing El Niño could lead to increased demand for natural gas to power air conditioners, and the potential closure of Europe's largest natural gas field may result in a surge in demand for North American LNG. The ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF is a high-risk, high-reward investment option due to its exposure to natural gas futures prices and potential for roll and volatility decay. Short-term traders may consider a speculative buy on the BOIL ETF, but long-term investors should seek exposure elsewhere.

News for ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas ETF (BOIL)