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AUR
Volume: 14.5M

Aurora Innovation (AUR) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Aurora Innovation (AUR) Analyst Ratings

Based on 8 analyst ratings
Buy
Strong Buy 38%
Buy 38%
Hold 25%
Sell 0%
Strong Sell 0%

Bulls say

Aurora Innovation is attractive fundamentally because it is proving real commercial traction in a massive U.S. trucking market, with more than 5.3M cumulative autonomous miles, ~440,000 driverless miles as of 6/30, and a network of 10 routes across the Sun Belt. Its next-generation fleet, 1,000-truck annual upfit run-rate later this year, and the Hirschbach order for 500 Aurora Driver-powered trucks support a growing revenue base, while management expects >200 driverless trucks by year-end and an ~$80M Transportation as a Service run-rate. The company also appears financially resilient, with ~$1.3B liquidity as of Q1, FY26 quarterly cash use of $190M-$220M, and a stated path to positive FCF in 2028, alongside favorable regulation, first-mover advantage, and high-margin potential at scale.

Bears say

Aurora Innovation is facing a negative fundamental setup because its near-term estimates are moving lower, 2028 FCF guidance was amended, and equity capital needs have doubled to $1.5B, signaling heavier dilution or financing risk before profitability is visible. Although longer-term estimates call for more than $5B in revenue on 30k+ trucks in 2030, the business is still early in its growth cadence and is expected to drive only 4% of available miles, which implies adoption remains limited. Investor disappointment over missing clarity on new OEM and fleet partner momentum, combined with the bear case of setback-driven delays and software commoditization, weakens confidence in Aurora’s path to durable scale and margin expansion.

Aurora Innovation (AUR) has been analyzed by 8 analysts, with a consensus rating of Buy. 38% of analysts recommend a Strong Buy, 38% recommend Buy, 25% suggest Holding, 0% advise Selling, and 0% predict a Strong Sell.

This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Aurora Innovation and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.

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FAQs About Aurora Innovation (AUR) Forecast

Analysts have given Aurora Innovation (AUR) a Buy based on their latest research and market trends.

According to 8 analysts, Aurora Innovation (AUR) has a Buy consensus rating as of Oct 4, 2026. This rating is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Wall Street analysts have set a price target of $12.88, reflecting a 0.00% increase from the current stock price.

Financial analysts have set a price target of $12.88, indicating a 0.00% increase from the current stock price, but ratings and forecasts are frequently updated based on market conditions, earnings reports, and industry trends. This prediction is provided by third-party analysts and is not investment advice from Public.com.

Aurora Innovation (AUR)

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