Amrize Ltd (AMRZ) Stock Forecast & Price Target

Amrize has demonstrated a consistent revenue growth rate of approximately 8% CAGR since 2020 in its heavy side materials business, indicating stable performance within its core operations. The EBITDA margin has significantly improved from 15% in April 2021 to 23% by December 2024, highlighting enhanced profitability driven by effective acquisition strategies and synergies. Additionally, strong pricing in the roofing business has contributed to an expansion of margins by nearly 800 basis points, positioning the company favorably as the market is projected to grow by approximately 5% annually, reaching an estimated USD 33-38 billion by 2030.

The financial outlook for Amrize is negatively impacted by a heightened focus on climate change and ESG considerations among investors, which has contributed to a reduced asset valuation. The company's margins are reported to be lower than those of its competitors, indicating potential challenges in profitability and market positioning. Furthermore, Amrize's reliance on cement, characterized by high carbon intensity, has led to declining interest, particularly among European investors, suggesting a long-term risk to its competitive advantages due to potential alternative products or manufacturing processes.