
Autoliv (ALV) Stock Forecast & Price Target
Autoliv (ALV) Analyst Ratings
Bulls say
Autoliv is favored for its dominant ~44% global market share, roughly 45% share in airbags and seatbelts, and number-one positions across its core passive-safety categories, which support pricing power and durable demand. Its thesis is reinforced by predictable content-per-vehicle growth, regulatory-driven safety adoption, and a growing Chinese OEM mix, with Chinese automakers now representing 55% of China sales and organic sales to them up ~44% year over year in Q2. Despite Q2 margin pressure from higher raw materials and -5 points of gross margin in the Americas, management confirmed 2026 guidance, implied +2.5 points of gross margin, and the stock still screens attractively at about an 8% FCF yield with double-digit EPS growth potential.
Bears say
Autoliv is exposed to a highly cyclical auto-supplier model, so its revenue and profitability are tied to global vehicle production, inventory swings, trim-mix shifts, FX, tariffs, and other macro shocks that can quickly pressure results. Although it holds a 44% share of the $24 billion passive safety market and operates in 23 countries across 62 facilities, the outlook is weakened by downside risk to 2027 consensus revenue estimates, uneven regional GoM, and weaker Americas and Europe GoM that leaves growth more reliant on Asia. Near term, Q3 operating margin guidance came in below consensus and management’s 2026 setup is heavily weighted to Q4, implying a risky back-end margin rebound that could leave execution and estimate risk elevated.
This aggregate rating is based on analysts' research of Autoliv and is not a guaranteed prediction by Public.com or investment advice.
Autoliv (ALV) Analyst Forecast & Price Prediction
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