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  4. Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?
Elections

Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?

Yes45¢45%
No55¢55%
$1,315.94 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Yes option wins the 2026 Missouri Proposition A referendum on the 2025 congressional redistricting plan, then the market resolves to Yes. For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met. Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceMissouri Secretary of State
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,315.94
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$1,315.94
    Price51¢
    -2.17% today
  • No
    Volume$1,315.94
    Price59¢
    +1.85% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?. The outcome is Yes, with an estimated probability of 45% and a Yes contract price of $0.51. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Missouri Secretary of State as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

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Live odds on Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?

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Will Missouri approve HB 1’s congressional map?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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