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Financials

Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

Yes42.3¢42%
No57.7¢58%
$618,703.96 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Bitcoin outperforms gold in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The performance of gold will be determined by using ICE Data Service's prices provided by a variety of financial institutions. The performance of Bitcoin will be determined by using the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBloomberg News, Bloomberg Terminal, CF Benchmarks, CNBC, CoinDesk, CoinGecko, Coinbase, Financial Times, MarketWatch, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, Yahoo Finance
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$618,703.96
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes and No contracts

  • Yes
    Volume$618,703.96
    Price47.9¢
    -8.04% today
  • No
    Volume$618,703.96
    Price58¢
    +6.85% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?. The outcome is In 2026, with an estimated probability of 42% and a Yes contract price of $0.479. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bloomberg News, Bloomberg Terminal, CF Benchmarks, CNBC, CoinDesk, CoinGecko, Coinbase, Financial Times, MarketWatch, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, Yahoo Finance as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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Related events

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| $56,131.50 Vol.
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Live odds on Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

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Will Bitcoin outperform gold in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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