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  4. Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
Elections

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot57¢57%
Naftali Bennett18¢18%
Avigdor Lieberman6¢6%
$249,991.96 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the first new person to hold Prime Minister of Israel after Issuance is Gadi Eisenkot, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on who actually assumes the office of Prime Minister, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. The person must be different from whoever held the position at market issuance - if the same person continues in office through the expiration date, all markets resolve to No. Resolution is based on official announcements from the country's legislature or government, with The New York Times as a secondary source for confirmation.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceThe New York Times
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$249,991.96
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Naftali Bennett
    Volume$79,075.22
    Price18¢
    +38.46% today
  • Israel Katz
    Volume$34,334.38
    Price5.9¢
    +230.00% today
  • Gadi Eisenkot
    Volume$27,788.82
    Price61¢
    -5.00% today
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
    Volume$24,373.36
    Price4.4¢
    +160.00% today
  • Yariv Levin
    Volume$16,289.76
    Price2¢
    -90.00% today
  • Avigdor Lieberman
    Volume$14,068.70
    Price9.8¢
    -25.00% today
  • Bezalel Smotrich
    Volume$13,816.76
    Price2¢
    +300.00% today
  • Yair Lapid
    Volume$12,450.36
    Price1.9¢
    -90.00% today
  • Benny Gantz
    Volume$8,963.54
    Price0.7¢
    -50.00% today
  • Yoav Gallant
    Volume$7,986.80
    Price0.9¢
    -10.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Naftali Bennett
    Volume$79,075.22
    Price90.9¢
    -5.75% today
  • Israel Katz
    Volume$34,334.38
    Price98¢
    +9,570.00% today
  • Gadi Eisenkot
    Volume$27,788.82
    Price45¢
    +7.50% today
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
    Volume$24,373.36
    Price99.9¢
    -3.27% today
  • Yariv Levin
    Volume$16,289.76
    Price99.9¢
    +9,890.00% today
  • Avigdor Lieberman
    Volume$14,068.70
    Price94¢
    +2.17% today
  • Bezalel Smotrich
    Volume$13,816.76
    Price100¢
    +9,500.00% today
  • Yair Lapid
    Volume$12,450.36
    Price99.9¢
    +9,890.00% today
  • Benny Gantz
    Volume$8,963.54
    Price99.5¢
    +9,850.00% today
  • Yoav Gallant
    Volume$7,986.80
    Price99.9¢
    +9,810.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?. The leading outcome is Gadi Eisenkot, with an estimated probability of 57% and a Yes contract price of $0.61. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? is Jan 1, 2045. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using The New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

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Live odds on Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

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Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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