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Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

Itamar Ben-Gvir18¢18%
Yoram Cohen16¢16%
Yitzhak Wasserlauf14¢14%
$162,249.28 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Itamar Ben-Gvir formally takes office as Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Security in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If the ministry is renamed or restructured, such as back to the Ministry of Public Security, the minister of a successor ministry with substantially the same responsibilities counts. If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Yoav Segalovitz
    Volume$16,100.00
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Meirav Ben-Ari
    Volume$12,535.04
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Amichai Eliyahu
    Volume$12,411.52
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Hamad Amar
    Volume$12,125.16
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Elazar Stern
    Volume$11,600.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Avi Dichter
    Volume$10,942.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Yossi Cohen
    Volume$10,784.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Chili Tropper
    Volume$10,262.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Haim Katz
    Volume$9,601.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Gideon Sa'ar
    Volume$9,600.00
    Price2¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Yoav Segalovitz
    Volume$16,100.00
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Meirav Ben-Ari
    Volume$12,535.04
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Amichai Eliyahu
    Volume$12,411.52
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Hamad Amar
    Volume$12,125.16
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Elazar Stern
    Volume$11,600.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Avi Dichter
    Volume$10,942.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Yossi Cohen
    Volume$10,784.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Chili Tropper
    Volume$10,262.00
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • Haim Katz
    Volume$9,601.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Gideon Sa'ar
    Volume$9,600.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?. The leading outcome is Itamar Ben-Gvir, with an estimated probability of 18% and a Yes contract price of $0.17. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? is Oct 27, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Fox News, MS Now, NBC, Reuters, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, the New York Times as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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