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Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

Central African Republic57¢57%
South Sudan42¢42%
Somalia34¢34%
$920,397.96 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in Central African Republic is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in Central African Republic — a citizen of Central African Republic diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within Central African Republic do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceAssociated Press, Bloomberg, CDC, New York Times, Reuters, the World Health Organization, the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for ,
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$920,397.96
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Republic of the Congo
    Volume$185,001.56
    Price21¢
    0.00% today
  • United States
    Volume$172,160.80
    Price10¢
    +12.50% today
  • KenyaClosed
  • Rwanda
    Volume$94,068.70
    Price22¢
    -9.52% today
  • South Sudan
    Volume$73,098.26
    Price41¢
    -4.55% today
  • China
    Volume$62,711.72
    Price9¢
    +33.33% today
  • India
    Volume$57,739.94
    Price10¢
    +12.50% today
  • NigeriaClosed
  • Ethiopia
    Volume$25,038.54
    Price42¢
    +5.56% today
  • Canada
    Volume$24,838.78
    Price10¢
    -25.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Republic of the Congo
    Volume$185,001.56
    Price81¢
    0.00% today
  • United States
    Volume$172,160.80
    Price91¢
    -1.09% today
  • KenyaClosed
  • Rwanda
    Volume$94,068.70
    Price80¢
    +2.53% today
  • South Sudan
    Volume$73,098.26
    Price60¢
    +3.57% today
  • China
    Volume$62,711.72
    Price93¢
    -2.13% today
  • India
    Volume$57,739.94
    Price92¢
    -1.09% today
  • NigeriaClosed
  • Ethiopia
    Volume$25,038.54
    Price79¢
    -1.22% today
  • Canada
    Volume$24,838.78
    Price92¢
    +2.17% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?. The leading outcome is Central African Republic, with an estimated probability of 57% and a Yes contract price of $0.58. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Associated Press, Bloomberg, CDC, New York Times, Reuters, the World Health Organization, the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for , as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

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Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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