Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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If Goldman Sachs serves as a lead underwriter for Kraken's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNBC, CNN, EDGAR database, Financial Times, Fox Business, MSNBC, MarketWatch, NBC, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Yahoo Finance, bank, company, the Associated Press, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$253,374.54
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- CitigroupVolume$67,614.78Price8¢-25.00% today
- Goldman SachsVolume$60,737.10Price8¢+150.00% today
- Morgan StanleyVolume$49,881.58Price8¢-50.00% today
- Bank of AmericaVolume$38,028.62Price8¢-25.00% today
- JPMorgan ChaseVolume$37,112.46Price8¢-25.00% today
Trade No contracts
- CitigroupVolume$67,614.78Price98¢+1.04% today
- Goldman SachsVolume$60,737.10Price99¢-6.25% today
- Morgan StanleyVolume$49,881.58Price99¢+2.08% today
- Bank of AmericaVolume$38,028.62Price99¢+1.04% today
- JPMorgan ChaseVolume$37,112.46Price99¢+1.04% today
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Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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