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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 202959¢59%
Before Jul 1, 202856¢56%
Before Jan 1, 202848¢48%
$21,018,026.46 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourcethe Statistical Review of World Energy
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$21,018,026.46
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    Volume$6,861,503.18
    Price7.8¢
    -13.33% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    Volume$5,566,126.28
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$3,283,381.68
    Price31¢
    -6.25% today
  • Before Dec 1, 2026
    Volume$3,081,442.68
    Price5¢
    +25.00% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$1,685,484.12
    Price18¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$149,509.14
    Price49¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2027
    Volume$148,650.84
    Price42¢
    -2.38% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2029
    Volume$105,926.24
    Price60¢
    -1.67% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2028
    Volume$89,457.90
    Price56¢
    -1.75% today
  • Before Dec 1, 2027
    Volume$15,397.70
    Price41¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    Volume$6,861,503.18
    Price92.3¢
    +1.32% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    Volume$5,566,126.28
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2027
    Volume$3,283,381.68
    Price70¢
    +2.94% today
  • Before Dec 1, 2026
    Volume$3,081,442.68
    Price96¢
    -1.04% today
  • Before Apr 1, 2027
    Volume$1,685,484.12
    Price83¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2028
    Volume$149,509.14
    Price52¢
    0.00% today
  • Before Nov 1, 2027
    Volume$148,650.84
    Price59¢
    +1.72% today
  • Before Jan 1, 2029
    Volume$105,926.24
    Price41¢
    +2.50% today
  • Before Jul 1, 2028
    Volume$89,457.90
    Price45¢
    +2.33% today
  • Before Dec 1, 2027
    Volume$15,397.70
    Price60¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?. The leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2029, with an estimated probability of 59% and a Yes contract price of $0.60. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using the Statistical Review of World Energy as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

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Live odds on When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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