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  4. When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?
Elections

When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?

Before Dec 495¢95%
Before Nov 2190¢90%
Before Nov 1485¢85%
$10,158.22 Vol.

These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate election before 12:00 AM ET on Dec 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourcethe Associated Press
  • Est. resolution date—
  • Total event volume$10,158.22
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Nov 6Closed
Before Nov 14
$3.56K88¢+6.25%
Before Nov 11
$1.75K44¢+37.84%
Before Nov 21
$783.9296¢+2.27%
Before Dec 4
$383.64100¢-1.04%
Before Nov 5Closed
Before Jan 4
$099¢-100.00%

Trade No contracts

ContractVolumePrice1D changeEst. probability
Before Nov 6Closed
Before Nov 14
$3.56K15¢-25.00%
Before Nov 11
$1.75K57¢-22.22%
Before Nov 21
$783.9211¢-16.67%
Before Dec 4
$383.645¢+25.00%
Before Nov 5Closed
Before Jan 4
$05¢+2,400.00%

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?. The leading outcome is Before Dec 4, with an estimated probability of 95% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?

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When will AP call the Mississippi Senate election?

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Event estimated to resolve on the estimated date at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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