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  4. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)
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Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 1597¢97%
Above 2089¢89%
Above 2369¢69%
$414,293.58 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceIMF PortWatch
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$414,293.58
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 15
    Volume$105,443.08
    Price98¢
    -1.02% today
  • Above 20
    Volume$88,369.56
    Price89¢
    +1.14% today
  • Above 40
    Volume$67,686.92
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Above 35
    Volume$63,144.80
    Price4¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 50
    Volume$32,351.08
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Above 30
    Volume$22,749.18
    Price9¢
    -10.00% today
  • Above 25
    Volume$16,204.88
    Price48¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 27
    Volume$11,425.48
    Price28¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 23
    Volume$6,918.60
    Price74¢
    -9.21% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 15
    Volume$105,443.08
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today
  • Above 20
    Volume$88,369.56
    Price12¢
    -8.33% today
  • Above 40
    Volume$67,686.92
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Above 35
    Volume$63,144.80
    Price97¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 50
    Volume$32,351.08
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Above 30
    Volume$22,749.18
    Price92¢
    +1.11% today
  • Above 25
    Volume$16,204.88
    Price53¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 27
    Volume$11,425.48
    Price73¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 23
    Volume$6,918.60
    Price32¢
    +29.17% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25). The leading outcome is Above 15, with an estimated probability of 97% and a Yes contract price of $0.98. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25). On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) is Oct 27, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using IMF PortWatch as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25) and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25). Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

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Odds
Max payoutBefore fees
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Prediction Markets Glossary

Learn more

Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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