Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceBBC, Bloomberg News, Financial Times, Reuters, The Guardian, The New York Times, The Washington Post, major national news outlets of , office of the head of state of , official government gazette or equivalent official publication of , official government websites of , parliament or legislature of , the Associated Press
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$2,076,521.74
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- Benjamin NetanyahuVolume$1,500,551.62Price29¢0.00% today
- Gadi EizenkotVolume$290,866.48Price47¢+2.17% today
- Naftali BennettVolume$134,650.60Price14¢-7.14% today
- Avigdor LiebermanVolume$102,078.16Price4¢+100.00% today
- Amir OhanaVolume$23,215.88Price2¢0.00% today
- Itamar Ben GvirVolume$7,950.10Price2¢+100.00% today
- Benny GantzVolume$4,362.42Price1¢0.00% today
- Yair LapidVolume$3,617.30Price1¢0.00% today
- Ayelet ShakedVolume$2,972.06Price1¢0.00% today
- Israel KatzVolume$2,045.88Price1¢0.00% today
Trade No contracts
- Benjamin NetanyahuVolume$1,500,551.62Price72¢0.00% today
- Gadi EizenkotVolume$290,866.48Price54¢-1.85% today
- Naftali BennettVolume$134,650.60Price87¢+1.16% today
- Avigdor LiebermanVolume$102,078.16Price98¢-2.04% today
- Amir OhanaVolume$23,215.88Price100¢0.00% today
- Itamar Ben GvirVolume$7,950.10Price100¢-1.01% today
- Benny GantzVolume$4,362.42Price100¢+9,800.00% today
- Yair LapidVolume$3,617.30Price100¢+9,800.00% today
- Ayelet ShakedVolume$2,972.06Price100¢+9,800.00% today
- Israel KatzVolume$2,045.88Price100¢+9,800.00% today
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Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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