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Politics

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%45¢45%
No change or decrease 0–0.99%33¢33%
Decrease 1-1.99%9¢9%
$178,564.12 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the population change in New York City is between 0.01% and 0.99% between July 1, 2025 and July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Population change is calculated as ((July 2027 Population - July 2025 Population) / July 2025 Population) × 100, rounded to one decimal place. The market resolves based on official census counts or estimates from the relevant national statistical office or census bureau for the specified geography. If the geography is split into multiple entities during the time period, the combined population of all successor entities will be used. Preliminary counts or estimates are valid if final data is not available by expiration. If data is unavailable by the latest expiration date, all strikes resolve to No. For temporal markets, the market checks cumulative population change from the start of the time period to each potential resolution date.

Trade Yes contracts

  • No change or decrease 0–0.99%
    Volume$46,992.80
    Price33¢
    +6.45% today
  • Increase 0.01-0.99%
    Volume$29,279.76
    Price45¢
    +7.14% today
  • Increase 1-1.99%
    Volume$22,581.54
    Price7¢
    +33.33% today
  • Decrease 1-1.99%
    Volume$20,721.82
    Price12¢
    +12.50% today
  • Increase 3% or more
    Volume$19,585.90
    Price7¢
    +25.00% today
  • Decrease 3% or more
    Volume$18,382.86
    Price6¢
    -75.00% today
  • Increase 2-2.99%
    Volume$12,913.88
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today
  • Decrease 2-2.99%
    Volume$8,105.56
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • No change or decrease 0–0.99%
    Volume$46,992.80
    Price68¢
    -2.90% today
  • Increase 0.01-0.99%
    Volume$29,279.76
    Price60¢
    -5.17% today
  • Increase 1-1.99%
    Volume$22,581.54
    Price96¢
    -2.13% today
  • Decrease 1-1.99%
    Volume$20,721.82
    Price97¢
    -1.09% today
  • Increase 3% or more
    Volume$19,585.90
    Price99¢
    -1.04% today
  • Decrease 3% or more
    Volume$18,382.86
    Price99¢
    +3.13% today
  • Increase 2-2.99%
    Volume$12,913.88
    Price100¢
    -1.02% today
  • Decrease 2-2.99%
    Volume$8,105.56
    Price100¢
    -1.02% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?. The leading outcome is Increase 0.01-0.99%, with an estimated probability of 45% and a Yes contract price of $0.45. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? is Jun 1, 2028. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using BBC News, Bloomberg News, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, relevant national statistical office or census bureau for geography, the Associated Press, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, the United Nations Population Division, the World Bank as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

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Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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