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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

Nithya Raman, ≥2%70¢70%
Nithya Raman, ≥8%44¢44%
Nithya Raman, ≥4%39¢39%
$29,361.62 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.

  • Full contract termsView
  • Sourceofficial election authority responsible for certifying results in
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$29,361.62
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Nithya Raman, ≥2%
    Volume$11,071.14
    Price51¢
    +59.09% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥10%
    Volume$5,854.94
    Price16¢
    0.00% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥4%
    Volume$5,072.24
    Price44¢
    -2.50% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥6%
    Volume$3,740.70
    Price40¢
    +11.43% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥8%
    Volume$3,190.28
    Price31¢
    +57.14% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥12%
    Volume$412.32
    Price16¢
    +7.14% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥14%
    Volume$10.00
    Price11¢
    0.00% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥16%
    Volume$10.00
    Price6¢
    -16.67% today

Trade No contracts

  • Nithya Raman, ≥2%
    Volume$11,071.14
    Price55¢
    -46.43% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥10%
    Volume$5,854.94
    Price85¢
    0.00% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥4%
    Volume$5,072.24
    Price65¢
    +1.67% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥6%
    Volume$3,740.70
    Price69¢
    -6.15% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥8%
    Volume$3,190.28
    Price77¢
    -22.22% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥12%
    Volume$412.32
    Price88¢
    -1.16% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥14%
    Volume$10.00
    Price90¢
    0.00% today
  • Nithya Raman, ≥16%
    Volume$10.00
    Price95¢
    +1.06% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman). The leading outcome is Nithya Raman, ≥2%, with an estimated probability of 70% and a Yes contract price of $0.51. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman). On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using official election authority responsible for certifying results in as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Live odds on Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

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Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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