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Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

North Carolina Senate55¢55%
Georgia Senate51¢51%
$41,377.86 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If North Carolina Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Georgia US Senate and North Carolina US Senate, including any December 1, 2026 Georgia runoff, as of Dec 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. If no candidate wins a majority in Georgia and a runoff is held, the margin from the December 1, 2026 runoff is used. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used.

Trade Yes contracts

  • North Carolina Senate
    Volume$20,919.44
    Price55¢
    +5.77% today
  • Georgia Senate
    Volume$20,458.42
    Price49¢
    +10.87% today

Trade No contracts

  • North Carolina Senate
    Volume$20,919.44
    Price50¢
    -6.25% today
  • Georgia Senate
    Volume$20,458.42
    Price57¢
    -9.26% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?. The leading outcome is North Carolina Senate, with an estimated probability of 55% and a Yes contract price of $0.55. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? is Dec 8, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using ABC News, Ballotpedia, Bloomberg News, CBS News, CNN, FiveThirtyEight, Fox News, NBC News, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, in hierarchical order: the official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections within, official state or local election division websites, the Associated Press as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

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Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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