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Midterms

LA-04 Republican nominee?

Mike Johnson5¢5%
Josh Morott1.8¢2%
Mike Nichols1.8¢2%
$149,994.10 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Mike Johnson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 LA-04 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceDemocratic Party, Republican Party
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$149,994.10
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
    • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
    • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity.
    • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of House campaigns.
    • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations,
    • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
    • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
    • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
    • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
    • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
    • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
    • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
    • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

Trade Yes contracts

  • Mike Johnson
    Volume$139,147.92
    Price7¢
    -50.00% today
  • Josh Morott
    Volume$6,371.56
    Price1.8¢
    +80.00% today
  • Mike Nichols
    Volume$4,474.62
    Price1.8¢
    +80.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Mike Johnson
    Volume$139,147.92
    Price97.3¢
    +5.56% today
  • Josh Morott
    Volume$6,371.56
    Price100¢
    -0.81% today
  • Mike Nichols
    Volume$4,474.62
    Price100¢
    -0.81% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for LA-04 Republican nominee?. The leading outcome is Mike Johnson, with an estimated probability of 5% and a Yes contract price of $0.07. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for LA-04 Republican nominee? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for LA-04 Republican nominee?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for LA-04 Republican nominee? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Democratic Party, Republican Party as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for LA-04 Republican nominee? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on LA-04 Republican nominee?

  1. 1

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for LA-04 Republican nominee?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

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Live odds on LA-04 Republican nominee?

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LA-04 Republican nominee?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


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