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Science and Technology

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

Above 12099¢99%
Above 14072¢72%
Above 14524¢24%
$1,529,097.66 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceSpaceX
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,529,097.66
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • SpaceX
    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 160
    Volume$375,106.16
    Price5¢
    +25.00% today
  • Above 180
    Volume$271,231.26
    Price4¢
    +33.33% today
  • Above 140
    Volume$189,237.04
    Price72¢
    +1.41% today
  • Above 170
    Volume$180,665.40
    Price4¢
    -25.00% today
  • Above 150
    Volume$107,371.38
    Price9¢
    +12.50% today
  • Above 210
    Volume$104,651.22
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 190
    Volume$91,803.74
    Price3¢
    +50.00% today
  • Above 120
    Volume$84,261.72
    Price99¢
    +1.02% today
  • Above 200
    Volume$68,951.60
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 145
    Volume$55,818.14
    Price24¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 160
    Volume$375,106.16
    Price96¢
    -1.04% today
  • Above 180
    Volume$271,231.26
    Price98¢
    -1.03% today
  • Above 140
    Volume$189,237.04
    Price30¢
    -3.45% today
  • Above 170
    Volume$180,665.40
    Price97¢
    +1.04% today
  • Above 150
    Volume$107,371.38
    Price92¢
    -1.09% today
  • Above 210
    Volume$104,651.22
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 190
    Volume$91,803.74
    Price98¢
    -1.02% today
  • Above 120
    Volume$84,261.72
    Price2¢
    -50.00% today
  • Above 200
    Volume$68,951.60
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 145
    Volume$55,818.14
    Price77¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?. The leading outcome is Above 120, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? is Jan 1, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using SpaceX as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

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How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

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Related assets

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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