Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
About
If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Attorney General general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round. In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round. In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes. Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies. The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds. Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them. The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.
- Full contract termsView
- SourceABC, Axios, BBC, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Fox News, NBC, Politico, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, official electoral authority conducting election, the Associated Press
- Est. resolution date
- Total event volume$89,933.28
- Timeline
- Insider trading is prohibited
Trade Yes contracts
- GovernorVolume$32,795.28Price94.4¢-2.07% today
- SenateVolume$17,698.12Price95.9¢+0.33% today
- Lieutenant GovernorVolume$16,768.00Price95.5¢+2.11% today
- Commissioner of InsuranceVolume$15,234.00Price94.9¢+3.19% today
- Secretary of StateVolume$2,543.30Price94.5¢+2.17% today
- Commissioner of AgricultureVolume$1,742.00Price96.2¢-3.12% today
- Commissioner of LaborVolume$1,234.00Price94.3¢-4.35% today
- Attorney GeneralVolume$1,134.58Price97¢+9,600.00% today
- State Superintendent of SchoolsVolume$784.00Price94¢-5.43% today
Trade No contracts
- GovernorVolume$32,795.28Price9.8¢+23.75% today
- SenateVolume$17,698.12Price8.5¢-3.75% today
- Lieutenant GovernorVolume$16,768.00Price5.9¢-40.00% today
- Commissioner of InsuranceVolume$15,234.00Price5.9¢-50.00% today
- Secretary of StateVolume$2,543.30Price9.9¢-25.00% today
- Commissioner of AgricultureVolume$1,742.00Price10¢+41.43% today
- Commissioner of LaborVolume$1,234.00Price10¢+50.00% today
- Attorney GeneralVolume$1,134.58Price6¢+200.00% today
- State Superintendent of SchoolsVolume$784.00Price10¢+62.50% today
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Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
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Learn moreEvent estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.
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