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  4. CPI in October
Economics

CPI in October

Above -0.1%98¢98%
Above 0.0%98¢98%
Above 0.1%90¢90%
$1,659,616.70 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will always close at 8:29 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (November 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceBureau of Labor Statistics
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$1,659,616.70
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Trade Yes contracts

  • Above 0.2%
    Volume$507,133.42
    Price65¢
    +4.84% today
  • Above 0.1%
    Volume$400,372.06
    Price90¢
    +2.27% today
  • Above 0.3%
    Volume$181,948.36
    Price24¢
    -21.43% today
  • Above 0.4%
    Volume$152,065.74
    Price7¢
    -12.50% today
  • Above 0.0%
    Volume$149,310.04
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • Above -0.1%
    Volume$70,043.68
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.5%
    Volume$62,688.66
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.8%
    Volume$36,490.90
    Price1¢
    — today
  • Above 1.0%
    Volume$35,576.30
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.6%
    Volume$24,322.08
    Price2¢
    — today

Trade No contracts

  • Above 0.2%
    Volume$507,133.42
    Price38¢
    -7.89% today
  • Above 0.1%
    Volume$400,372.06
    Price11¢
    -16.67% today
  • Above 0.3%
    Volume$181,948.36
    Price78¢
    +8.33% today
  • Above 0.4%
    Volume$152,065.74
    Price94¢
    +1.09% today
  • Above 0.0%
    Volume$149,310.04
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Above -0.1%
    Volume$70,043.68
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.5%
    Volume$62,688.66
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.8%
    Volume$36,490.90
    Price100¢
    -1.00% today
  • Above 1.0%
    Volume$35,576.30
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • Above 0.6%
    Volume$24,322.08
    Price99¢
    -1.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for CPI in October. The leading outcome is Above -0.1%, with an estimated probability of 98% and a Yes contract price of $1.00. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for CPI in October by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for CPI in October. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for CPI in October is Nov 10, 2026. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Bureau of Labor Statistics as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for CPI in October and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on CPI in October

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

    Sign up on Public.com or download the Public app for iOS or Android. Complete your profile in minutes, then explore live odds and probabilities across prediction markets.

  2. 2

    Fund your account

    Securely link your bank account to deposit funds. Depending on eligibility, you may unlock up to $250,000 in instant buying power right away.

  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for CPI in October. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

    Manage your portfolio

    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for September
| $3,370.56 Vol.
Above -0.10
Above 0.00
Above 0.10
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
| $29,726.12 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Headline PCE inflation in September
| $26,069.50 Vol.
Above 0.3%
Above 0.4%
Above 0.5%
US employer health insurance cost growth in Q3 2026
| $252.00 Vol.
Above 4.5%
Above 5.0%
Above 6.5%
Chicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October
| $4,370.32 Vol.
Above 105¢ per pound
Above 110¢ per pound
Above 115¢ per pound
McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October
| $24,566.72 Vol.
At least $4.77
At least $4.78
At least $4.79
Dunkin' medium cold brew price in October
| $15,418.98 Vol.
At least $4.45
At least $4.47
At least $4.48
Chick-fil-A Chicken Sandwich price in October
| $9,908.70 Vol.
At least $5.40
At least $5.42
At least $5.41
Starbucks Grande Strawberry Açaí Refresher price in October
| $9,876.48 Vol.
At least $5.09
At least $5.11
At least $5.10
Wendy's Baconator price in October
| $14,971.32 Vol.
At least $8.70
At least $8.71
At least $8.72
Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme price in October
| $12,297.06 Vol.
At least $6.72
At least $6.73
At least $6.74
Burger King Double Whopper price in October
| $921.88 Vol.
At least $8.12
At least $8.13
At least $8.14
Chipotle Chicken Burrito price in October
| $1,940.36 Vol.
At least $9.83
At least $9.84
At least $9.85
McDonald's Big Mac price in October
| $10,464.12 Vol.
At least $6.11
At least $6.12
At least $6.13
Popeyes Classic Chicken Sandwich price in October
| $28,085.58 Vol.
At least $5.71
At least $5.72
At least $5.73
I bond fixed rate in November 2026
| $33,869.80 Vol.
Above 1.2%
Above 1.4%
Above 1.6%
ISM Manufacturing PMI in October
| $4,886.50 Vol.
At least 55
At least 56
At least 57
FAO Food Price Index for October
| $5,137.40 Vol.
Above 133.0
Above 135.0
Above 136.0
Egg prices up in October?
| $21,714.50 Vol.
Above 0%
Will core CPI be above headline CPI in October?
| $1,712.00 Vol.
In October 2026
October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
| $33,245.46 Vol.
Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%
Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%
Core CPI in October
| $1,428,159.28 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
CPI in October (exact value)
| $31,338.22 Vol.
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.4%
Core CPI in October (exact value)
| $54,078.72 Vol.
Exactly 0.1%
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.3%
US gasoline CPI for October
| $80,210.36 Vol.
Above 370
Above 380
Above 385
Owners' equivalent rent for October
| $10,593.56 Vol.
Above 449.5
Above 450.0
Above 448.5
CPI-U index in October
| $24,763.76 Vol.
Above 336.000
Above 336.100
Above 336.200
US shelter CPI in October
| $3,423.30 Vol.
Above 435.9
Above 435.5
Above 435.4
US used cars and trucks CPI for October
| $22,399.72 Vol.
Above 180
Above 183
Above 181
US airline fares CPI for October
| $2,046.00 Vol.
Above 334
Above 336
Above 318
Core goods CPI MoM in October
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.3%
Above -0.1%
Brazil inflation rate in October
| $20,578.28 Vol.
Above 4.60%
Above 4.70%
Above 4.80%
Argentina inflation rate MoM for October
| $8,157.74 Vol.
Above 1.8%
Above 2.0%
Above 2.2%
PPI MoM in October
| $30,597.70 Vol.
Above 0.4%
Above 0.5%
Above 0.6%
PPI YoY in October
| $4,645.48 Vol.
Above 6.5%
Above 6.6%
Above 6.7%
Will Canada inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?
| $3,615.12 Vol.
Canada higher?
Will UK inflation be above Euro Area inflation in October?
| $0.00 Vol.
United Kingdom higher?
South Africa inflation rate MoM for October
| $29,010.40 Vol.
Above 0.2%
Above 0.4%
Above 0.6%
Will Japan’s inflation rate be above Singapore’s in October?
| $0.00 Vol.
Japan higher?
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
| $2,302.00 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Core CPI YoY in November
| $551,669.66 Vol.
Above 2.7%
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Core CPI in November
| $166,047.82 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
CPI YoY in November (exact value)
| $46,581.02 Vol.
Exactly 3.2%
Exactly 3.8%
Exactly 3.9%
CPI in November
| $162,811.58 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value)
| $8,319.64 Vol.
Exactly 2.9%
Exactly 3.3%
Exactly 2.2%
Core CPI in November (exact value)
| $35,794.48 Vol.
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.1%
CPI YoY in November
| $1,209,246.98 Vol.
Above 3.8%
Above 3.9%
Above 4.0%
CPI in November (exact value)
| $8,420.56 Vol.
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.4%
Will core CPI fall below 2.2% in 2026?
| $82,646.42 Vol.
Yes
Electricity inflation YoY in November
| $144.00 Vol.
Above 4.2%
Above 4.8%
Above 4.4%
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
| $4,423.52 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.4%
Disneyland ticket price at year-end 2026
| $46,912.54 Vol.
Above $228
Above $224
Above $238
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
| $142,806.34 Vol.
Above $1100
Above $1000
Above $1300
2027 Toyota Tacoma starting MSRP
| $11,683.08 Vol.
Above $32,500
Above $32,000
Above $33,500
2027 Toyota RAV4 starting MSRP
| $168,589.32 Vol.
Above $32,000
Above $32,500
Above $33,000
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?
| $38,758.08 Vol.
Above 4.75%
Above 5.00%
Above 6.25%
How high will CPI get this year?
| $184,950.18 Vol.
Above 4.2%
Above 4.3%
Above 4.5%
State of the economy at the end of 2026
| $313,637.56 Vol.
Overheating
Soft landing
Stagflation
Core CPI in December
| $98,783.32 Vol.
Above 0.1%
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Core CPI YoY in December
| $364,456.88 Vol.
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Above 3.0%
CPI YoY in December (exact value)
| $30,199.52 Vol.
Exactly 4.4%
Exactly 3.9%
Exactly 3.8%
Grocery inflation at the end of 2026?
| $14,429.10 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
Core CPI in December (exact value)
| $3,954.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.3%
Exactly 0.2%
Exactly 0.1%
CPI YoY in December
| $677,019.04 Vol.
Above 3.8%
Above 3.9%
Above 4.0%
CPI in December (exact value)
| $1,146.00 Vol.
Exactly 0.5%
Exactly 0.4%
Exactly 0.0%
CPI in December
| $188,828.52 Vol.
Above 0.2%
Above 0.3%
Above 0.4%
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value)
| $4,666.00 Vol.
Exactly 2.8%
Exactly 3.1%
Exactly 2.7%
Average US used car transaction price at end of 2026
| $1,218.48 Vol.
Above $25,000
Above $26,000
Above $27,000
How high will inflation get this year?
| $1,135,859.62 Vol.
At least 4.5%
At least 5.0%
At least 5.5%
Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
| $246,858.08 Vol.
Above 4.00 pp
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?
| $12,394.40 Vol.
Above 3.25%
Above 5.00%
Above 5.50%
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?
| $302,205.92 Vol.
In Dec 2026
2027 Toyota 4Runner starting MSRP
| $22,246.16 Vol.
Above $42,500
Above $43,000
Above $44,000
2027 Honda Accord starting MSRP
| $595.48 Vol.
Above $28,500
Above $29,000
Above $31,000
2027 Toyota Sienna starting MSRP
| $43,612.92 Vol.
Above $41,000
Above $41,500
Above $42,000
UC tuition for 2027–28
| $1,584.98 Vol.
Above $16,100
Above $16,200
Above $16,300
Social Security COLA for 2028
| $19,799.18 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
US employer health insurance cost growth (YoY) · September 2027
| $0.00 Vol.
Above 5%
Above 9%
Above 4%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
| $129,088.46 Vol.
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
Above 5.0%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2028
| $16,736.78 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 1.5%
Above 3.5%
Costco raises hot dog combo price?
$158,116.72 Vol.
Before 2030
Before 2028
Before 2029
US headline CPI inflation in December 2029
| $39,532.58 Vol.
Above 2.0%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2030
| $7,587.10 Vol.
Above 2.5%
Above 3.0%
Above 4.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2031
| $6,582.78 Vol.
Above 2.5%
Above 2.0%
Above 3.0%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2032
| $696.06 Vol.
Above 1.0%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2033
| $1,760.08 Vol.
Above 1.5%
Above 2.5%
Above 5.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2034
| $3,950.58 Vol.
Above 1.0%
Above 0.5%
Above 4.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2035
| $3,277.12 Vol.
Above 1.5%
Above 2.5%
Above 3.5%
US headline CPI inflation in December 2036
| $3,359.24 Vol.
Above 3.5%
Above 4.0%
Above 2.0%

Live odds on CPI in October

Track live odds and trade event contracts inside a multi-asset portfolio on Public. Plus, create AI Agents for your prediction market strategies.

CPI in October

Order
Odds
Max payoutBefore fees
$0.00

Prediction Markets Glossary

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.


Trading event contracts involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Before investing, please read our Event Contracts Risk Disclosure and carefully consider your financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance. Live data is for informational purposes only and may be delayed or incorrect.


Event contracts offered by Open to the Public Investing, Inc. and Apex Clearing Corp. through KalshiEX LLC.

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