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Elections

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Roraima99¢99%
Tocantins98¢98%
Minas Gerais96¢96%
$183,076.92 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Flávio Bolsonaro finishes in 1st place in the state of Roraima in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: Rank is based on runoff vote totals only In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Each market ranks the runoff votes cast in the named state, as reported by the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE). Votes cast abroad are not part of any state.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceTribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$183,076.92
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • Amapá
    Volume$49,409.60
    Price68¢
    -2.86% today
  • Tocantins
    Volume$45,786.90
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • Amazonas
    Volume$31,889.98
    Price33¢
    +3.33% today
  • Pará
    Volume$27,602.52
    Price15¢
    -26.67% today
  • Minas Gerais
    Volume$24,252.94
    Price96¢
    0.00% today
  • Alagoas
    Volume$3,735.26
    Price5¢
    0.00% today
  • Roraima
    Volume$399.72
    Price99¢
    +2.06% today

Trade No contracts

  • Amapá
    Volume$49,409.60
    Price33¢
    +6.67% today
  • Tocantins
    Volume$45,786.90
    Price2¢
    0.00% today
  • Amazonas
    Volume$31,889.98
    Price69¢
    -1.43% today
  • Pará
    Volume$27,602.52
    Price88¢
    +4.71% today
  • Minas Gerais
    Volume$24,252.94
    Price6¢
    0.00% today
  • Alagoas
    Volume$3,735.26
    Price100¢
    0.00% today
  • Roraima
    Volume$399.72
    Price5¢
    -66.67% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?. The leading outcome is Roraima, with an estimated probability of 99% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? is Oct 25, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

  1. 1

    Create a Public account

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

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Live odds on Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

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Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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