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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?

SDP93¢93%
HDZ coalition25¢25%
NiP7¢7%
$233,966.34 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If SDP - Socijaldemokratska partija Bosne i Hercegovine finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority’s final seat allocation order. Total seats in the 42-member House of Representatives count: 28 Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina seats and 14 Republika Srpska seats, including constituency and compensatory mandates. The Central Election Commission’s final certified seat allocation controls. Each certified party or joint list counts as one entity. Its seats across both entities are combined; separate lists are not combined for post-election coalitions. In case of exact ties for 3rd place, markets resolve proportionally ($1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down). An unlisted party or coalition achieving the specified rank resolves all named markets to No. Candidates or parties who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on their certified results. The full rules govern cancellation, postponement and unavailable certified results.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceCentral Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$233,966.34
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • SDS
    Volume$32,124.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • SNSD
    Volume$11,308.60
    Price6¢
    -33.33% today
  • BHI
    Volume$11,243.20
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • SDP
    Volume$10,606.90
    Price99¢
    0.00% today
  • BH Zeleni
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • NES/PDA/Naprijed
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • NS
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Ujedinjena Srpska
    Volume$9,969.98
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • NiP
    Volume$8,852.50
    Price1¢
    +600.00% today
  • DNS-NPS
    Volume$8,518.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • SDS
    Volume$32,124.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • SNSD
    Volume$11,308.60
    Price100¢
    +1.03% today
  • BHI
    Volume$11,243.20
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • SDP
    Volume$10,606.90
    Price9¢
    0.00% today
  • BH Zeleni
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • NES/PDA/Naprijed
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • NS
    Volume$10,277.98
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Ujedinjena Srpska
    Volume$9,969.98
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • NiP
    Volume$8,852.50
    Price100¢
    +9,200.00% today
  • DNS-NPS
    Volume$8,518.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?. The leading outcome is SDP, with an estimated probability of 93% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? is Oct 4, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?

  1. 1

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

    Buy and sell event contracts

    Explore Prediction Markets from the Invest menu or search Public for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?. Review the latest odds and probabilities, then buy or sell event contracts based on your view.

  4. 4

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    Track your prediction market positions alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto. Plus, create AI Agents for investing and connect your portfolio through MCP to AI models like ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

Related events

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?
| $205,856.14 Vol.
SNSD
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Live odds on Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?

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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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