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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

SNSD56¢56%
DF/GS2¢2%
SDP2¢2%
$205,856.14 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If Savez nezavisnih socijaldemokrata - SNSD - Milorad Dodik finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Bosnia and Herzegovina House of Representatives election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority’s final seat allocation order. Total seats in the 42-member House of Representatives count: 28 Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina seats and 14 Republika Srpska seats, including constituency and compensatory mandates. The Central Election Commission’s final certified seat allocation controls. Each certified party or joint list counts as one entity. Its seats across both entities are combined; separate lists are not combined for post-election coalitions. In case of exact ties for 2nd place, markets resolve proportionally ($1 divided by the number of tied entities, rounded down). An unlisted party or coalition achieving the specified rank resolves all named markets to No. Candidates or parties who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on their certified results. The full rules govern cancellation, postponement and unavailable certified results.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceCentral Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$205,856.14
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
    • Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event

Trade Yes contracts

  • HDZ coalition
    Volume$30,904.02
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • SNSD
    Volume$20,062.12
    Price99¢
    -41.67% today
  • Laburisti
    Volume$16,386.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • Ujedinjena Srpska
    Volume$14,186.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • SDS
    Volume$12,364.00
    Price1¢
    0.00% today
  • Republikanci
    Volume$9,154.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • SDA
    Volume$7,350.00
    Price5¢
    -50.00% today
  • SBB
    Volume$6,276.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • Volja Naroda
    Volume$6,258.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today
  • SBiH
    Volume$5,992.00
    Price4¢
    -50.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • HDZ coalition
    Volume$30,904.02
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • SNSD
    Volume$20,062.12
    Price7¢
    +1,000.00% today
  • Laburisti
    Volume$16,386.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • Ujedinjena Srpska
    Volume$14,186.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • SDS
    Volume$12,364.00
    Price100¢
    +9,800.00% today
  • Republikanci
    Volume$9,154.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • SDA
    Volume$7,350.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • SBB
    Volume$6,276.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • Volja Naroda
    Volume$6,258.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today
  • SBiH
    Volume$5,992.00
    Price100¢
    +1.02% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?. The leading outcome is SNSD, with an estimated probability of 56% and a Yes contract price of $0.99. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place? is Oct 4, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

How to trade the odds on Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

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  2. 2

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  3. 3

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  4. 4

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Related events

Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 3rd place?
| $233,966.34 Vol.
SDP
HDZ coalition
NiP

Live odds on Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

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Bosnia and Herzegovina parliamentary election: 2nd place?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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