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Midterms

Alaska Senate winner?

Democratic party76¢76%
Republican party25¢25%
$6,093,173.02 Vol.

Event estimated to resolve on . These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.

About

If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

  • Full contract termsView
  • SourceUnited States Congress
  • Est. resolution date
  • Total event volume$6,093,173.02
  • Timeline

    The market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by .

    1. Event open
    2. Event closed
    3. Projected payout
  • Insider trading is prohibited

    The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

    • Holders of federal and statewide public office.
    • Paid campaign staffers on Senate campaigns.
    • Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
    • Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Senatorial campaigns.
    • Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations,
    • Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and "Super PACs"
    • Paid employees of major polling organizations.
    • Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations
    • All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
    • All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
    • All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
    • All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
    • All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices

Trade Yes contracts

  • Republican party
    Volume$3,615,893.70
    Price25¢
    +4.17% today
  • Democratic party
    Volume$2,477,279.32
    Price76¢
    0.00% today

Trade No contracts

  • Republican party
    Volume$3,615,893.70
    Price76¢
    -1.32% today
  • Democratic party
    Volume$2,477,279.32
    Price25¢
    0.00% today

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Public shows live market-implied probabilities, contract prices, and trading volume for Alaska Senate winner?. The leading outcome is Democratic party, with an estimated probability of 76% and a Yes contract price of $0.76. Odds can change as traders buy and sell event contracts.

On Public, you can buy and sell event contracts for Alaska Senate winner? by choosing from the available outcomes. Compare live odds, probabilities, prices, and trading volume before making a trade. You can manage prediction markets alongside stocks, options, bonds, and crypto on Public.

Each event contract represents an outcome for Alaska Senate winner?. On Public, you can take a Yes or No position based on whether you think that outcome will occur. Contract prices reflect market-implied probabilities and can change as the market trades.

The estimated resolution date for Alaska Senate winner? is Nov 3, 2027. The prediction market will resolve according to its contract terms using United States Congress as the designated source. See the full contract terms on Public for the specific resolution criteria.

Yes. Public's AI Agents let you automate prediction market strategies using rules you define in plain English. Create an Agent to monitor the odds for Alaska Senate winner? and take supported actions when your conditions are met. Since prediction markets trade 24/7, your Agent can monitor opportunities around the clock. You can also connect Public to your preferred AI model through MCP, including ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and Muse.

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Live odds on Alaska Senate winner?

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Alaska Senate winner?

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Event estimated to resolve on at 10:00AM. These probabilities are based on what other investors recently paid for Yes and No positions.


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