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Posts & Investments - #marketanalysis

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@Molllz
๐ŸšจBIG NEWS ALERT๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ธ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ’ธ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Just spotted a HUGE dark pool trade for $ABT at $98.05! That's worth a whopping $57M and is 10% of the average volume. ๐Ÿ˜ฑ๐Ÿ˜ฑ๐Ÿ˜ฑ โ„น๏ธ Data: Blackbox Stocks ๐Ÿ”ฅ #Darkpool #darkpooltrades โ€ฆSee more
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El Bichote de Los Grรกficos๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ท avatar
El Bichote de Los Grรกficos๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ท
@ElBichoteDeLosGraficos
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Is โ€œvolatilityโ€ good or bad for market liquidity? #buildandgrow #learning #marketanalysis #volatility #liquidity #orderflow #imbalance

Good ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿพ51.28%
Bad ๐Ÿ‘Ž๐Ÿพ28.21%
I donโ€™t know ๐Ÿค”20.51%
39 votes โ€ข Ended 07/20/22
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TIME TO LEARN YOU SOME KNOWLEDGE Chances are, if you've only dabbled in stop losses, you've had your stops just barely hit just for the stock to immediately blow up. Or, if you use stops often, you probably see this somewhat frequently and don't know what you're doing wrong. Here's the answer: Nothing. The stock market is a rigged game, and the sooner you realize that, the sooner you can avoid thโ€ฆSee more
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Markets on a 9 week loosing streak, how long do you think until a relief rally? IMO things are going to get worse then better. I believe bear market will end Q4 of 2022, Maybe even next year. But remember what are you in for the longterm or the short? ๐Ÿš€ #marketanalysis #stocks #vote #Crypto #longterm #community

Q4 2022 37.5%
202331.25%
202418.75%
Next month12.5%
16 votes โ€ข Ended 05/31/22
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Brad McEvilly avatar
Brad McEvilly
@bradmcevilly
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Invested in Clean Energy Fuels
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How long will this war between Russia & Ukraine last? #World #ukraineconflict #2022 #marketanalysis

1 month 18.46%
6 months18.46%
1 year46.15%
Couple weeks16.92%
65 votes โ€ข Ended 03/03/22
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I see the strategy that a couple of investors have taken is to invest inย $TSLAย competition in hopes that eventually they will match or surpass Teslaโ€™s success. Tesla is 10 years ahead of the competition when it comes to some elements of its manufacturing. This lead in the EV space will extend for years. This is not some fanboy post about Elon or Tesla, this is cold hard facts. Tesla started earlieโ€ฆSee more
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Hello everyone. I hope to give some reason as to why today is ๐ŸŸฅ $SPY has been trading in a long term trend channel using the 50 day moving average as support. It also somewhat looks like a rising wedge. It recently broke downward, retested and is now continuing down. If you have companies you fundamentally like, this coming week is a good opportunity to add to these positions since they are on sโ€ฆSee more
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Ahahaaaa I'm a little spooked. I made this chart on $SPY with a monthly timeframe. Anybody interested in a video about the Big Short 2.0? #marketanalysis #bearish #crash #marketcrash #๐ŸŒˆ๐Ÿป
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I've been having a debate since I started investing. Is the market random or is it something you can study and potentially beat? If you know me, you know I've been operating under the second assumption. Gradually though I've been swaying more and more into the random camp. Why? Well so far today โญ The eviction moratorium was struck down potentially making 3.5 million people homeless โญ The PCE inflation report did not meet expectations and showed a slowing in consumer spending โญ In his speech today Jerome Powell acknowledged tapering of the Fed's $120 billion in market support operations would occur before the end of this year If this wasn't random and was actually responding to events any one of those on it's own should cause a red day. Well it not only didn't do that I'm currently having my best day of the year in my WeBull account. I've been told not to look a gift horse in the mouth but hey, I don't know about you but I've found discussion generally requires a certain degree of looking. There are two theories regarding the market that speak to this randomness. First is called the efficient market hypothesis and the second is called random walk. Because I thought others might be interested I'm going to run through those real quick with you. The Efficient Market Hypothesis is an investment hypothesis which advances the belief that the prices of financial assets reflect all the available information. Based on this, it is believed that one cannot consistently โ€˜beat the marketโ€™ based on risk-adjustment only since asset prices will only react to new information. The Efficient Market Hypothesis is one of the main reasons some investors may choose a passive investing strategy. It helps to explain the valid rationale of buying these passive mutual funds and ETFs. So if you're buying index funds you may not have even known you agree with this theory but your actions say that you do. There's definitely some truth to this theory that's provable. Over a 10-year span 80% of professional fund managers fail to beat the index. That means one of two things is true. Either there are a lot of terrible fund managers on Wall Street or the efficient market hypothesis has a degree of truth and things are kind of baked in already. What do I mean by baked in? It means all the information that's out there in the world has been used in order for investors to determine the price of a given stock. This idea that everything is priced in and means that you can't get an edge because there's no information out there to get an edge with. You may have some trades where you do exceptionally well but according to this theory that was a totally random occurrence and has nothing to do with skill. So that's the in a vacuum theory but does it hold up in the real world? The best thing about the Efficient Market Hypothesis is that general consensus dictates that there will never be a 100% efficient market. This essentially means that there will always be profit opportunities in the market.The idea of efficient markets ensures that investors always commit to only exploiting quality trading opportunities in the market. The only way to realise above-average profitability would be to search for short-lived market inefficiencies, such as arbitrage opportunities. Over time, these opportunities will be non-existent in the market, but when available, investors should always ensure they take advantage of them. It is, therefore, important to build comprehensive and relevant knowledge and skills to be able to take advantage of such market opportunities. The Random Walk Hypothesis is a financial theory that states the prices of securities in a stock market are random and not influenced by past events. It suggests the price movement of the stocks cannot be predicted on the basis of its past movements or trend. I'm sure we've all seen these financial publications try and assign some overall market logic as to why the day finished up or down. I get a good laugh out of these everyday. Sure the market could have gone up because of event X but it's equally as likely that some algo trading computer glitched out and bought a bunch of stocks driving the market up. When you consider that 80% of trading volume comes from algo traders (automated programs to buy and sell stocks based on preprogrammed rules) the second option seems more likely to be true on any given day. The theory argues the stock price movements are independent of one another and have the same probability distribution. It says the stocks prices take an unpredictable random path. According to this theory, it is impossible to outperform the market without taking an additional risk as the chances of a stocks future price going up is the same as the chances of it going down. This fluctuation cannot be predicted by looking into its past movement. The theory discards all the methods of predicting stock prices as a futile effort. However, the critics of this theory believe stocks maintain a price trend over time and one can outperform the market by carefully planning entry and exit points without assuming the risk. So that's the rundown what do you think? In the poll below I'm asking you do you think the market is random? #tcardizzle #learning #money #marketanalysis

Yes59.65%
No40.35%
114 votes โ€ข Ended 08/28/21
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Chris Carvalho avatar
Chris Carvalho
@ChrisSellsCT
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Where will the Market be on 9/1/21 #marketanalysis #sp500 #nasdaq #invest

Higher ๐Ÿš€69.23%
Lower ๐Ÿ‘Ž30.77%
13 votes โ€ข Ended 08/19/21
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It's got to stop. Too many IPOs. Believe it or not there's a finite amount of money in the market and although that number is vast consider this, for every newly launched multi billion dollar company there's now that much less money invested in previously existing stocks. Here are some statistics There have been 558 IPOs on the US stock market this year, as of June 28, 2021. That is +481.3% moreโ€ฆSee more
Dec 28, 2020 - Jun 28, 2021
IPO
IPO2.10%
SPAK
SPAK11.47%
SPXZ
SPXZ16.57%
IPOS
IPOS0.50%
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