iShares U.S. Fixed Income Balanced Risk Factor ETF

FIBR tracks an index composed of USD-denominated bonds and Treasury futures. The index seeks to equalize exposure to interest rate risk and credit risk.

JPMorgan BetaBuilders Europe ETF

SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF

Xtrackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity ETF

Xtrackers MSCI Eurozone Hedged Equity ETF

WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend Fund

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

BlackRock Enhanced Government Fund

WisdomTree Europe Quality Dividend Growth Fund

ProShares MSCI Europe Dividend Growers ETF

Direxion Daily FTSE Europe Bull 3X Shares

WisdomTree Europe Hedged SmallCap Equity Fund

iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF

First Trust STOXX European Select Dividend Index Fund

First Trust Europe AlphaDEX Fund

First Trust Eurozone AlphaDEX ETF

SPDR EURO STOXX 50 ETF

Franklin FTSE Europe ETF

Franklin FTSE Eurozone ETF

First Trust IPOX Europe Equity Opportunities ETF

Goldman Sachs TreasuryAccess 0-1 Year ETF

iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF

Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Europe Equity ETF

Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF

WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund

iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Eurozone ETF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares Core MSCI Europe ETF

iShares MSCI Europe Small-Cap ETF

iShares Europe ETF

First Trust Long Duration Opportunities ETF

ALPS O'Shares Europe Quality Dividend ETF Shares

ProShares UltraShort 7-10 Year Treasury

Pacer Trendpilot European Index ETF

First Trust RiverFront Dynamic Europe ETF

Schwab Short-Term US Treasury ETF

Schwab Long-Term US Treasury ETF

Schwab Intermediate-Term US Treasury ETF

iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF

iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF

SPDR Portfolio Europe ETF

SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF

SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF

Proshares Short 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares Short 7-10 Year Treasury

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares

ProShares UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury

Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3x Shares

Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bear 3x Shares

ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury

ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury

US Treasury 2 Year Note ETF

Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF

Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF

PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon US Treasury Index ETF

The ECB cut rates by 25bp as widely anticipated, but a slightly hawkish tilt bear flattened the EUR curve, which in our view remains priced aggressively. In the US, as the markets head towards the Fed's first rate cut, the probability of a larger cut rose slightly on Thursday.

Rates Spark: ECB Presser Bear-Flattened The Curve

It generally takes a few years for changes in Federal Reserve rates to fully impact bond fund dividends. Bond funds are still benefitting from prior rate hikes. Perhaps by enough to cancel out any future rate cuts. By my estimations, and under current Fed guidance, most bond funds would only start to see declining dividends in 2025, at the earliest.

Estimating The Impact Of Lower Rates On Bond Fund Dividends

Global X Health & Wellness Thematic ETF

Global X China Biotech Innovation ETF

Global X MSCI China Communication Services ETF

Global X China Energy ETF

Global X MSCI China Health Care ETF

Global X China Industrials

Global X MSCI China Information Technology ETF

Global X China Materials ETF

Global X MSCI China Real Estate ETF

Global X MSCI China Consumer Staples ETF

Global X MSCI China Utilities ETF

Global X China Financials ETF

Global X Next Emerging & Frontier ETF

Strategy Shares Gold-Hedged Bond ETF

Global X Funds-Global X Green Building Etf

iShares High Yield Bond Factor ETF

iShares Investment Grade Bond Factor ETF

Tema Neuroscience and Mental Health ETF

Global X Carbon Credits Strategy ETF

Global X MSCI Pakistan ETF

Global X MSCI Portugal ETF

Global X Cannabis ETF

Defiance Treasury Alternative Yield Etf

iShares USD Bond Factor ETF

Global X Metaverse ETF

Mohr Industry Nav Etf

Although 14 new ETFs debuted in the U.S. this past week, closure announcements came in even stronger, largely due to Global X pruning its lineup. Launches during the week included funds from BondBloxx, WisdomTree, Innovator, JPMorgan, and Range ETFs.

This Week in ETFs: Closures Outnumber New ETFs

Cabana Target Leading Sector Aggressive ETF

Cabana Target Leading Sector Conservative ETF

Cabana Target Leading Sector Moderate ETF

iShares North American Tech-Multimedia Networking ETF

Invesco Raymond James SB-1 Equity ETF

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Cabana Target Drawdown 10 ETF

Cabana Target Drawdown 13 ETF

VictoryShares Free Cash Flow ETF

Alpha Blue Capital US Small-Mid Cap Dynamic ETF

VictoryShares Small Cap Free Cash Flow ETF

Texas Capital Texas Small Cap Equity Index ETF

FT Cboe Vest US Equity Moderate Buffer ETF-Decemebr

iShares U.S. Digital Infrastructure and Real Estate ETF

FT Cboe Vest US Equity Buffer & Premium Income ETF - December

The last full week of the year was a busy one, with 18 new ETFs launching. Among the rolled-out funds were offerings from Texas Capital, PlanRock, PGIM, John Hancock, SP Funds, Bancreek, KB Asset Management, ProShares, and WisdomTree.

This Week in ETFs: VictoryShares Adds Small-Cap FCF Fund

JPMorgan BetaBuilders 1-5 Year US Aggregate Bond ETF

SPDR Bloomberg 3-12 Month T-Bill ETF

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF

iShares MSCI Japan ETF

ClearShares Ultra-Short Maturity ETF

Invesco 1-30 Laddered Treasury ETF

Invesco QQQ

ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF

The market is showing signs of weakness and lacks sustainable upside momentum. The recent sell-off has broken key moving averages, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment.

Selling Time? Oil, Inflation, Debt Concerns And A T-Bill Portfolio

Barclays Bank iPath US Treasury 5-Year Bear Exchange Traded   Note 2011-12.7.21 Ser -A- Lkd to BC 2Y US Trsry Futs Trgtd Expsre

Barclays Bank iPath US Treasury 2-year Bull Exchange Traded   Notes 2010-13.8.20 Ser -A- Lnk to BC 2Y US Treasury Futures Trg Ex

Barclays Bank iPath US Treasury 2 Yr Bear Exchange Traded

Barclays Bank iPath US Treasury 10 Yr Bull Exchange Traded    Notes 2010-13.8.20 Sr-A Lk Barclays Cap 10Y US Trs Fut Trgt Exp Id

iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF

Barclays Inverse US Treasury Composite ETN

While there is upward pressure on market rates in 2022, it's not coming from higher net supply. In fact, lower net supply can help to richen government bonds. On top of that, we should see flatter curves over the whole of 2022. We also anticipate some upward pressure on USD Libor.

Rates Outlook: Swap Spreads To See Widening Pressure

CSOP FTSE China A50 ETF

iShares Agency Bond ETF

Xtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF

Xtrackers Harvest CSI 500 China A-Shares Small Cap ETF

Xtrackers MSCI China A Inclusion Equity ETF

Global X MSCI China Large Cap 50 ETF

Global X China Consumer ETF

Loncar China Biopharma ETF

Xtrackers MSCI All China Equity ETF

VanEck Vectors ChinaAMC SME-ChiNext ETF

iShares MSCI China A ETF

Invesco China Technology ETF

WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises Fund

iShares MSCI China Small-Cap ETF

iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF

iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF

First Trust China AlphaDEX Fund

Franklin FTSE China ETF

Franklin FTSE Hong Kong ETF

Franklin FTSE Taiwan ETF

Franklin Short Duration U.S. Government ETF

iShares China Large-Cap ETF

SPDR S&P China ETF

KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A Share ETF

KraneShares CICC China 5G and Semiconductor Index ETF

KraneShares CICC China Leaders 100 Index ETF

Kraneshares MSCI China Environment Index ETF

KraneShares SSE STAR Market 50 Index ETF

KraneShares Hang Seng Tech Index ETF

KraneShares MSCI All China Health Care Index ETF

KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF

First Trust Low Duration Opportunities ETF

iShares MSCI China ETF

Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF

Rayliant Quantamental China Equity ETF

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund

WisdomTree Bloomberg US Dollar Bullish Fund

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

The deficit spending that supported the economy in 2020 is showing up in hot inflation numbers in 2021. While I think the inflation numbers will get better in 2022, I do not believe they will get back to pre-pandemic levels because of owners' equivalent rents and wage gains in the CPI.

Mind The Bond Market

PIMCO 15+ Year US TIPS ETF

Invesco PureBeta 0-5 Yr US TIPS ETF

Schwab US TIPS ETF

SPDR Portfolio TIPS ETF

iShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF

PIMCO 1-5 Year US TIPS ETF

FlexShares iBoxx 5 Year Target Duration TIPS Index Fund

FlexShares iBoxx 3 Year Target Duration TIPS Index Fund

iShares TIPS Bond ETF

SPDR Bloomberg 1-10 Year TIPS ETF

PIMCO Broad US TIPS Index ETF

Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF

At the November FOMC meeting, the Fed officially announced that it would begin tapering its bond purchase program, starting in mid-November. When the Fed began tapering its QE3 program over the course of 2014, the coupon supply from the U.S. Treasury was stable, leading to an increase in net supply takedown from the private market.

Tapering Impact On Treasury Supply

Inflation expectation is a key metric the Fed watches closely. Housing costs - based on different measures of rents - account for one-third of CPI.

Inflation Expectations Come Unanchored

European Equity Fund

ProShares UltraShort FTSE Europe

ProShares Ultra FTSE Europe

Higher rates are ongoing, but we wouldn't blame it on the, very moderate in our view, central bank tone. Improving economic data after the Covid 19-induced soft patch is a more credible, and durable, driver for higher rates.

Rates Spark: The Long Way Up

The commercial banking system now maintains the largest amount of reserve balances it has ever held, thanks to the effort of the Federal Reserve System. Because of this liquidity in the banks, short-term interest rates are threatening to fall into negative territory and have not because the Fed sold $1.2 trillion in reverse repurchase agreements.

Federal Reserve Watch: Fed Keeps Reserves Into Commercial Banks

I don't often write articles on the general economy or macro. However, for the past five weeks, I've gotten requests and messages to talk about what numbers and trends indicate. Given that I'm a EU investor with a diversified portfolio, I'll look at the global situation, with a focus on the larger economic blocs.

News for iShares U.S. Fixed Income Balanced Risk Factor ETF ETF (FIBR)