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Jennifer Faith
🔷🔷Powell Delivers Remarks at NABE (National Association for Business Economics)🔷🔷 The Buck Stops Here Speech 🔹 Committed to restoring price stability with a strong labor market 🔹 Ongoing rate increases ⬆️ 🔹 Warranting actions to get price stabilty 🔹 Labor market has substantial momentum 🔹 If Fed needs to tighten above neutral rate it will do so 🔹 1.7 job openings per 1 person 🔹 Wage pressures are greater 🔹 Fed will hike by more than 25BPS each time if needed 🔹 Treasuries extend declines as Powell comments on rates 🔹 They are targeting inflation 🔹 We have the tools 🛠️ to do this 🔹 We are a long way from equilibrium balance sheet 🔹 Supply and Demand-supply constraints, demand is high 🔹 We got away from connecting inflation to money velocity 🔹 Money 💴 velocity not as important to inflation today 🔹 Having a strong 💪 labor market has been big focus for me 🔹 I want to make sure wages 💲 are on sustainable path 🔹 If you want a strong labor market, we must have stable prices 🔹 War impact is more of a classic supply shock 🔹 We may well conclude that we need to move more quickly 🏃‍♂️ 🔹 If we think it's appropriate to hike 50 BPS, we will 🔹 Hard to say if economy will return to pre-pandemic type 🔹 Not factoring in climate change for short term US Stocks hit session Low 🔹 I dont see elevated chance of recession in next year 🔹 Job creation has has been remarkable, even through Omicron 😷 🔹 Public facing service sectors may get more productive 🔹 Don't see conflict between two mandates in medium term 🔹 Shape of yield curve is one of the things we monitor #stocks #publiccommunity #breakingnews #Fed #Powell #Bigdippers #jennotes #jensnotes #Economics #Ratehikes
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